GDXJ triggered a little Triangle Pendulum buy signal on Friday: Follow through is key. We’re not getting it — yet. That said, it is 180 degrees/days from the last breakout pivot on June 3 and we are roughly one year from the big low. GDXJ is also satisfying gapfill from June 3 but needs to […]
Continue Reading -->The stock market is a peculiar place. Like a ship of reason sucked into the Bermuda Triangle, it rewards one for being right for the wrong reason. Just because things tend to luckily work a certain way at times doesn’t disprove what is conceptually correct when the exception plays out. Here’s what one big investment […]
Continue Reading -->Yesterday we went into some detail regarding the big picture in the SPX and GLD vis a vis the 3 Month Charts. Today’s report will be brief. But remember that the message of the SPX 3 Month Chart is that a decline below November’s low will trigger what should be a quite bearish monthly Reversal […]
Continue Reading -->The Naz Composite first cleared its March 2000 top in June 2015. It finally closed above the March 2000 peak a year later in July 2016. A monthly NAZ shows 3 drives attacking the March 2000 top. Long time readers know I often say markets play out in threes. Sometimes there is a 4th ‘campaign’. […]
Continue Reading -->GLD may be about to do something it hasn’t done for years. It’s 50 week moving average may be set to cross over its 200 week moving average. This would leave a so-called bullish Golden Cross on the weeklies. Notably, GLD left a weekly Bear Cross in the fall of 2013 when the 50 week […]
Continue Reading -->“We all have one foot in a fairy tale and the other in an abyss.” -Paulo Coehlo Since the October 11 break of the Rising Wedge in the SPX, the Daily Swing Chart has turned up twice — once on a gap up and strong rally on Friday that wilted giving up all session gains, […]
Continue Reading -->Bear phases are defined by failed rally attempts just as bull phases are defined by failed declines. This morning stocks are up. Presumably on the heels of NFLX. That said, every one to two day rally attempt since the Gann pivot of the year, the Autumnal Equinox, has faltered. The last rally attempt on Friday […]
Continue Reading -->Following Thursday’s Bottoming Tail after an undercut of the September low, stocks tried for the upside on Friday. The attempt failed as the SPX was rejected from our key 2148 level. The SPX retraced all Thursday’s gains as it tailed off after turning its Daily Swing Chart up. The market is acting bearish as the […]
Continue Reading -->The Square of 9 Wheel is a time and price calculator that can identify tops and bottoms. One would think it may not work well on IPO’s because of a lack of data, but actually lack of data exemplifies turning points. Let’s take a look a two hot IPO’s this week. TWLO went public on […]
Continue Reading -->GLD has pulled back to the important 20 week line. This ties to a test of a rising trendline for 2016. Note that the last time GLD tested its 20 week m.a., it flushed it followed by Train Tracks or a 180 on the weeklies. That test occurred on the week of 5/23 in tandem […]
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