Trader’s Digest: The 10 Stories We’re Reading Right Now
Wonder what traders are talking about today?We’re here with the top 10 stories we’re sharing with colleagues today, covering topics like:Scott Redler’s Take on 25+ Stocks, ETF’s, and IndicesWhy Bitcoin Could Trade Between $6,500 and $22,00010 Reasons to Get Our 2018 Market Outlook ReportAnd more!So check out these links right now and get up to speed: 1) Bonus FREE Edition of Redler All Access (T3 Live)To celebrate another successful year for the Redler All-Access community, we’re posting today’s Morning Call Video and Morning Note. Read the Article -> 2) Bitcoin will trade between $6,500 and $22,000 in 2018, according to the first analyst to cover it (CNBC)Bitcoin is in for a potentially wild ride in 2018 that will end with a modest drop from the current price, the first Wall Street analyst to write about the crypotcurrency said Wednesday. Read the Article -> 3) The ‘Architect of Project Fear’ thinks Brexit will have a ‘limited’ impact on the economy (Business Insider)Lord Macpherson, the civil servant dubbed “The Architect of Project Fear,” believes Brexit’s negative impact on the British economy will be limited if it is handled correctly. Read the Article -> 4) 7 Things to Know Before Your First Options Trade (T3 Live)These simple tips will help avoid common pitfalls that can destroy your profitability, so we hope you enjoy it! Read the Article -> 5) Betting Against Boredom: A Field Guide to 2018 Volatility Trades (Bloomberg)It’s pretty simple: in three decades since the Cboe Volatility Index was invented, 2017 will go down as the least exciting year for stocks on record. Read the Article -> 6) 10 Reasons to Read Scott Redler’s 2018 Market Outlook Report (T3 Live)You may owe it to yourself to get Scott Redler’s 2018 Market Outlook Report Read the Article -> 7) Factbox – Wall Street in 2018: the biggest risks for stocks (Reuters)Wall Street’s rally could have another leg up next year thanks to a sweeping tax cut and economic momentum, but investors are counting the risks that could abruptly end the party. Read the Article -> 8) Kanye West bought Kim Netflix and Apple stock for Christmas (Engadget)It’s Christmas morning in the Kardashian-West household. Kim chooses a gift from the mountains of presents piled up in their living room, and unwraps it to find a Disney toy, Apple headphones, Adidas socks and gift cards for Netflix and Amazon. Read the Article -> 9) Elon Musk promises rain-sensing wipers, Tesla pickup truck (Ars Technica)On Tuesday, Tesla CEO Elon Musk took to Twitter to respond to queries from the company’s fans and followers. In his series of replies, Musk promised new software-based functionality and repeated a vague promise that he made back in April: that after a Model Y SUV, Tesla would introduce a pickup truck to compete with Ford’s F series. Read the Article -> 10) Is It Time for a New Year’s Resolution? Watch this video for a motivational shot in the arm before the calendar flips to 2018:
Continue Reading -->Sentiment Report: Manic Panic for the Holidays
Let me get right to the point: traders are crazy bullish right now. I love to troll the bears for crying that everyone’s too bullish, but today they’re finally right. Let’s work through the numbers so you can see what I’m talking about — and I’ll give you an idea of how you can start 2018 on the right foot. (click here for a primer on the sentiment indicators below) 1) VIX Spread – Bullish Late Friday morning, the VIX was as low as 9.35, which is extraordinarily low based on historical norms. On Wednesday, it hit 8.9, the lowest level since the 8.56 all-time low from November 24. This gives us a 3-month spread at 3.8 indicating that traders are very bullish, and expect almost no volatility heading into the final week of the year. (click here for a primer on the VIX spread) 2) CNN Fear & Greed Index – Bullish The Fear & Greed Index is at 68, exactly flat from last week. This index operates on a 0-100 scale, and a reading of 68 is basically moderately bullish. 3) AAII Sentiment – Bullish The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 50.5% of individual investors are bullish, a big jump from last week’s 45.0% reading. This is the single highest reading of 2017. So basically, it took 11 months of nonstop grinding up to get individual investors overly excited about stocks! It’s also well above the 38.5% long-term average. All year long, the permabears have been saying that retail investors are “all in.” Well, the permabears are finally correct! 4) CBOE Equity Put-Call – Bullish The CBOE Equity-Put Call ratio’s latest reading is 0.560. This is below the 0.655 long-term average. The 10-day moving average is 0.563, which is extremely low on a historical basis. And the 3-day moving average, which I use to measure very short-term bullishness, is 0.550 — again, very low. These numbers point to extreme bullishness among options investors, who seem to expect that we’re going to end the new year with a big bang above SPX 2700. Conclusion Out of 4 sentiment indicators, we have: 4 neutral (up from 3 last week) 0 neutral (down from 1 last week) 0 bearish (flat from last we) On October 6, I made the following melodramatic declaration: Let’s not mince words: the bulls are clearly insane. They think they’re destined to ride into the sunset on a magic carpet made of cold hard cash. I can see both sides of the coin here. The bulls may be insane… but they may also be right. Timing market turns based on sentiment indicators is awfully tricky. And remember, the trend can go on a lot longer than may seem reasonable. That time, the bulls were right to be so positive, because after that, all indices hit fresh all-time highs. But now I’m wondering if we’re about to see a repeat of December 2016. For the past two weeks, sentiment has been about as bullish as it gets, which incidentally, is exactly what happened last December. That resulted in a brief drawdown into the 2017 New Year, after which it was off to the races. Now, if you’re not sure of where to put your money in 2017, I’d check out Scott Redler’s 2018 Market Outlook ReportIt includes 18-22 picks that could seriously outperform in 2018, including names in the crypto currency, tech stock, financials, and commodities spaces. Heck, Scott’s even dipping his toe in precious metals! Click here to read more.
Continue Reading -->Trader’s Digest: The 10 Stories We’re Reading Right Now
Wonder what traders are talking about today?We’re here with the top 10 stories we’re sharing with colleagues today, covering topics like:Bitcoin’s post-futures collapse, and what it meansWhy you should read Scott Redler’s 2018 Market Outlook ReportThe long-awaited passage of the GOP tax billAnd more!So check out these links right now and get up to speed: 1) Bitcoin Tumbles From Record in Biggest Slump Since Futures (Bloomberg)Lost in the hubbub over the feeding frenzy in cryptocurrencies and related stocks is the original digital coin itself. Read the Article -> 2) 10 Reasons to Read Scott Redler’s 2018 Market Outlook Report (T3 Live)You may owe it to yourself to get Scott Redler’s 2018 Market Outlook Report Read the Article -> 3) House approves sweeping tax bill in a win for Trump (Reuters)The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives gave final approval on Wednesday to the biggest overhaul of the U.S. tax code in 30 years, sending a sweeping $1.5 trillion bill to President Donald Trump for his signature. Read the Article -> 4) US existing home sales jump to 11-year high (CNBC)Republican leaders on Wednesday reached an agreement on their final tax bill, paving the way for an overhaul of the federal tax code by Christmas.Republicans are moving with full speed to pass the tax bill, a process that gained urgency after the Democrat Doug Jones’ unexpected victory Tuesday in Alabama’s special election for a US Senate seat. Read the Article -> 5) Options Case Study: Hitting It Big On Akamai (AKAM) (T3 Live)On November 21, 2017, Akamai Technologies (AKAM) caught our attention and Options In Play subscribers were alerted to buy the January $57.50 calls.Here’s how we spotted the opportunity: Read the Article -> 6) 5 Tips for Short-Term Options Trading (Schaeffer’s Investment Research)From implied volatility to technical analysis, here’s everything you need to know for quick options profits. Read the Article -> 7) Easy Trading Patterns You Can Use Today (T3 Live)Check out these two training videos from Black Room Moderators Sami Abusaad and Ifan Wei. Read the Article -> 8) How to Make a Mint: The Crytography of Anonymous Electronic Cash (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)M.I.T. broke down the basics of electronic cash… back in 199^ Read the Article -> 9) Tesla Model X is put to the test off-road and in tug of war with Hummer and Land Cruiser (Electrek)How powerful is the Tesla Model X? See how it performs in a tug of war against a Toyota Land Cruiser and a Hummer. Read the Article -> 10) Bitcoin (Ultra Spiritual Life)’Emotional Healing Coach’ J.P. tells you why Bitcoin is the veganism of the financial world.* *Just in case it’s not 100% clear, this video is a parody
Continue Reading -->11 Reasons to Read Scott Redler’s 2019 Market Outlook Report
11) It’s Bigger and Better Than EverThe 2018 Market Outlook was 78 pages long. And the 2019 Market Outlook weighs in with over 100 pages of trade ideas, analysis, and bonuses (read more below) that you can use. Remember, this report wasn’t written by a professor sitting in an office. You’re going to see actionable trade ideas and analysis, not 698 different charts of economic data. It’s written by a Scott Redler, a professional trader who makes a living risking capital on T3 Trading’s New York City trading floor. Scott doesn’t waste time on academic concepts. His focus is taking action to generate money.10) Learn an Unusual Way to Trade Apple (AAPL)Apple was a big winner in last year’s Market Outlook. But Scott’s introducing an unusual way to play it… which DOES NOT involve buying or selling it at the start of 2019. 9) Get A Big Update on Scott’s Amazon (AMZN) StrategyScott’s exact words on Amazon at the end of 2017: “In 2018, I believe Amazon can hit $2,000 and split 4:1.” Scott was wrong about the split, but Amazon did hit $2,000+ on August 30: Amazon is key to his 2019 strategy. Can you guess how? Hint: Scott is NOT predicting Amazon $3,000…8) Learn About a Social Media Stock That Can Rise 50%+, and Another That Can Get Taken OverScott has identified 1 social media stock that can actually hit new highs in 2019 with a 50%+ gain. And another that has the potential to be taken over. Yes, playing names for takeovers is very risky, but Scott is including a way to play it with defined risk. 7) There’s a Dog of the Dow That You’ll Be Shocked AtScott is targeting a particularly ugly ‘Dog of the Dow’-type name that could put in a 35% gain by January. This name is so hated that you’ll frankly be shocked it was uncluded. 6) We Are Moving the Delivery Date UpThis year’s Market Outlook Report will be delivered on or around December 24, 2018, instead of the end of the month. Why? Because last year, some of Scott’s best picks like IBB and Ethereum actually started rallying BEFORE year-end. We want to give you all the time you need to digest Scott’s research and figure out which names make sense for you. 5) You Want More Time With Your Family and FriendsDo you really want to spend the holidays reading market news and cranking through hundreds of charts, trying to desperately put together a trading plan for 2019? Scott is already doing the work… so why should you too? Get the report and instead focus on having FUN. You deserve it. 4) Even MORE AnalysisAside from the stock picks, Scott’s including his forecasts for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Biotech, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, and MORE! That means you’ll have a complete understanding of the market picture next year. And since these are all associated with ETF’s, you have even more ideas to work with in 2019.4) You Can Get it for FREE (sort of)We have two Redler All-Access bundle offers available that will save you a TREMENDOUS amount of money, making the report practically free. Option #2 was very popular last year… 2) BONUS Trading Education – 6 Features To keep you advancing as a trader, the 2019 Market Outlook includes 6 Bonus Education Sections, all updated for 2019 and beyond:Bonus #1: Scott Redler Interview Bonus #2: 20 Keys to Trading SuccessBonus #3: 5 Moving Average Rules You Need to KnowBonus #4: Red Dog Reversal Case Studies Bonus #5: The ‘h’ Sell SetupBonus #6: The Tier System for Trade Management So not only will you save time and make money (hopefully!), you’ll actually build skills you can use for years. 1) BONUS Reports Throughout the YearAs a second special bonus, you’ll get 3 update reports at the end of the first, second, and third quarters. That means 100% accountability and transparency, and Scott will outline any shifts in strategy that he’s making. Want to learn more about the 2019 Market Outlook Report? Learn More About the 2019 Market Outlook Report
Continue Reading -->Easy Trading Pattern You Can Use Today | Black Room Lessons
Two new training videos from The T3 Live Black Room Featuring Sami Abusaad & Ifan WeiJoin Sami and Ifan in the Black Room Just $7 for Your First 30 Days Watch today’s lessons then join the Black Room for 30 daysSami Abusaad Black Room
Continue Reading -->Where Is the Stock Market Going in 2018? Readers Sound Off!
Where is the stock market going in 2018? Will Bitcoin beat the S&P 500? Is it time to dump tech stocks and get into banks? These are the types of questions we’re asking ourselves as we close out 2017. And since we got so many great responses to our recent Bitcoin survey, we reached out to T3 Live readers to get their thoughts on these questions. So let’s go through the results of our survey asking readers for their 2018 outlooks. Please keep in mind that this is not a scientific survey, so please take all the findings with a grain of salt. Will the S&P 500 finish up or down in 2018? 72.6% of respondents said the S&P will finish up in 2018. No shocker there, considering that the market’s been ripping up in a straight line all year. Which sector will do BEST? 38.4% of respondents said tech will be the #1 sector in 2018. Again, that’s no shocker. Besides Bitcoin and other crypto currencies, technology stocks have been the #1 place to be since President Trump’s 2016 election. Which sector will do WORST? Traders must believe all the “Amazon is taking over the world” headlines, because respondents are very bearish on retail. 27.8% of respondents believe will retail will perform worst, followed by utilities at 25%. Which asset class will perform best in 2018? Respondents are most bullish on stocks, with 38.9% saying stocks will be the best-performing asset class for 2018. Will the VIX rise over 40 at any point during the year? Now here’s where the survey gets interesting. Respondents are bullish on what’s been working: stocks in general, tech stocks in particular, and Bitcoin and other crypto currencies. But 50% expect a spike in the VIX to over 40. Not that traders were necessarily cognizant of the specific numbers, but the VIX hasn’t been over 40 since the October 24, 2015 flash crash — over 2 years ago. Will the S&P 500 have a -10% down day in 2018? The S&P 500 has had only 1 10% down day in history — October 19, 1987 a.k.a Black Monday. Yet 55.7% of respondents said the S&P 500 will have a 10% down day in 2018: Will the S&P 500 enter a bear market in 2018? (defined as dropping 20% off the highs) But in keeping with traders’ generally bullish tone, just 29.6% expect a bear market in 2018, defined as a 20% drop off the highs: What is the single biggest risk facing the stock market in 2018? For this question, we’re simply going to post some of the more interesting responses, completely unedited aside from spelling corrrections: Trump impeding Mueller’s investigation More aggressive Federal Reserve Anything happening to President Trump! Domestic geopolitical shocks as well as foreign policy Revolution against globalization Rates Turkish led civil unrest and war in the middle east. Inverted Yield Curve Selling to fund crypts. Apart from banking all other sectors should be positive overall ‘Trump agenda gets stalled by congress A geopolitical blacks wan (middle east as an example) North Korea The mid-term election Multiple rate hike, but highly unlikely Donald Trump Traders seem most concerned with domestic politics and international unrest. In particular, there is a good deal of worry about some kind of Trump-related surprise. What is your single biggest challenge as a trader or investor? (be as detailed as you’d like!) Traders seem most worried about the Fed, getting picked off by HFT’s/algos, and trading through what feels like an extended market. Here are some responses, again, completely unedited except for spelling corrections: Timing moves so you aren’t buying too early, not getting shredded by HFTs front-running or running stops. Lack of volatility due to incessant money printing and the FED day trading the markets to hold indexes up Keeping up with the market. If not 100% in the market, chasing it was tough. Risk Mgmt. was out the window in 20177. Hope, it comes back in 2018. Keeping emotions out of the process Sizing up my trades and letting them run a little longer Keeping up with technological advances and tax Staying in stocks/funds in an overvalued market Staying with the trend (not reading copious amounts of newsletters crying out that the stock market is overbought because of indicator readings….) Staying Long when the market is at nose bleed territory Too many ETF’s hurts individual stock picking So what are you worried about? Post a comment below and let us know!
Continue Reading -->Trader Survey: Give Us YOUR 2018 Predictions!
Got a minute? Take this brief survey and tell us where YOU think the market’s going in 2018! Don’t forget to hit the submit button at the bottom! Loading…
Continue Reading -->Sentiment Report: Traders Are Extra Bullish for the Holidays
Traders are squarely focused on the progress of the GOP tax bill. And judging by the market action on Friday, it certainly looks like they’re feeling that it’s going to pass soon: The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all hit fresh all-time highs The Russell 2000 is outperforming by a big margin The US dollar is rallying Bank stocks are rocking hard Gold slipped into the red. But with two weeks to go in 2017, just how bullish are traders on equities after a year of nonstop opportunities to buy the dip? Let’s take a look at our 4 primary sentiment indicators to see if traders are going gaga for stocks. (click here for a primer on the sentiment indicators below) 1) VIX Spread – Bullish Late Friday morning, the VIX was as low as 9.51, which is very low based on historical norms. This gives us a 3-month spread at 4.18 indicating that traders are very bullish, and expect almost no volatility heading into year-end. (click here for a primer on the VIX spread) 2) CNN Fear & Greed Index – Bullish The Fear & Greed Index is at 68. This index operates on a 0-100 scale, and a reading of 68 is basically moderately bullish. 3) AAII Sentiment – Bullish The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 45.0% of individual investors are bullish. This is the fourth highest reading of 2017, and a huge jump from last week’s 36.9% reading. It’s also well above the year-to-date average of 34.5% and the 38.5% long-term average. The long-term average is 38.5%, so a reading of 45.0% is basically fairly positive. 4) CBOE Equity Put-Call – Bullish The CBOE Equity-Put Call ratio’s latest reading is 0.560. This is below the 0.655 long-term average. The 10-day moving average is 0.592, which is very low on a historical basis. And the 3-day moving average, which I use to measure very short-term bullishness, is 0.560 — again very low. These numbers point to serious bullishness among options investors, who seem to expect more all-time highs into the new year. Conclusion Out of 4 sentiment indicators, we have: 4 neutral (up from 3 last week) 0 neutral (down from 1 last week) 0 bearish (flat from last we) On October 6, I made the following melodramatic declaration: Let’s not mince words: the bulls are clearly insane. They think they’re destined to ride into the sunset on a magic carpet made of cold hard cash. I can see both sides of the coin here. The bulls may be insane… but they may also be right. Timing market turns based on sentiment indicators is awfully tricky. And remember, the trend can go on a lot longer than may seem reasonable. We’re seeing similar conditions right now. Stock market sentiment is about as bullish as it gets. So I’ll repeat what I just said: the trend can go on a lot longer than may seem reasonable. The market’s higher than it was on October 6, when many permabears were calling tops because sentiment was out of control. Could the market fall from here? Or course! But timing trades off sentiment is near-impossible. We very well could see a melt-up into year-end, so look both ways before crossing this bull!
Continue Reading -->Finding the Easy Money Trades | Black Room Lessons
Two new training videos from The T3 Live Black Room Featuring Sami Abusaad & Ifan WeiJoin Sami and Ifan in the Black Room Just $7 for Your First 30 Days Watch today’s lessons then join the Black Room for 30 daysSami Abusaad Black Room
Continue Reading -->Trader’s Digest: The 10 Stories We’re Reading Right Now
Wonder what traders are talking about today?We’re here with the top 10 stories we’re sharing with colleagues today, covering topics like:What exactly changed with the Fed todayHow to avoid giving back large trading gainsHow you can use the 8 & 21 day moving averages to judge the market trendAnd more!So check out these links right now and get up to speed: 1) Fed Raises Rates While Keeping Three-Hike Outlook for 2018 (Bloomberg)Federal Reserve officials followed through on an expected interest-rate increase and raised their forecast for economic growth in 2018, even as they stuck with a projection for three hikes in the coming year. Read the Article -> 2) How to NEVER Give Back Large Gains (T3 Live)In this video, you’ll learn how to avoid a tragic mistake — giving back big gains. Sami Abusaad will give you all the details: Read the Article -> 3) Uncle Sam’s Surprise: Tax Reform to Impact Crypto Investors (CoinDesk)The U.S. tax code is on the brink of its largest overhaul in three decades.Several rule changes could potentially catch bitcoin holders who realized eye-popping gains in 2017 by surprise. Read the Article -> 4) Republicans have a final deal on their tax bill — here’s what’s in it (Business Insider)Republican leaders on Wednesday reached an agreement on their final tax bill, paving the way for an overhaul of the federal tax code by Christmas.Republicans are moving with full speed to pass the tax bill, a process that gained urgency after the Democrat Doug Jones’ unexpected victory Tuesday in Alabama’s special election for a US Senate seat. Read the Article -> 5) Finding Fast Movers with the Quant Edge Strategy (T3 Live)Learn how Rob Smith’s unique Quant Edge Trading Strategy can help you find fast-moving stocks that can deliver fast profits. Read the Article -> 6) What analysts are looking for in Thursday’s Bank of England meeting (MarketWatch)There is a reason why those calling for a crash, or even a market correction in the past decade, have been carted out feet first: central banks, and noweher was this more obvious than the shocking aftermath of Brexit. The UK’s Brexit vote (Jun-16) marked the point when the buy-the-dip trade became a self-fulfilling put, according to a new analysis by Bank of America. Read the Article -> 7) Secrets of Trend Analysis: The Power of the 8 & 21 Day Moving Averages (T3 Live)In this lesson, you’re going to see the power of judging stocks and the market using the 8 & 21 day moving averages. Read the Article -> 8) Pepsi one-ups Budweiser brewer by ordering 100 Tesla electric semi trucks (TechCrunch)PepsiCo is the latest company to reveal that it’s placed orders for Tesla’s forthcoming electric semi-truck – and also the company with the largest order so far. The beverage company has ordered 100 of the trucks per Reuters, meaning it’s placed at least a $20,000 deposit for each of those since Tesla rose the down payment amount for its original $5,000 starting point. Read the Article -> 9) ‘Star Wars: The Last Jedi’ will be a force but likely not enough to lift box office sales over last year (L.A. Times)The North American box office is projected to be down at least 2% from the record set in 2016, despite the surely astronomical performance of the Walt Disney Co.’s “Star Wars: The Last Jedi.” Read the Article -> 10) Interview with Jack Schwager, Author of Market Wizards (Chat With Traders)Get to know Jack Schwager, author of the incredible popular Market Wizards series of trading books.
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