Why Trading the Pristine Method®? Sami and James Answer.
ATTN: Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young’s next Pristine Mentorship is on the calendar for October through December 2026. Spots are limited so check it out. Why do Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young love Trading the Pristine Method® (TPM). Because it’s logical: The interesting thing is that TPM® is the only trading method James and Sami ever studied. They never bothered with any other systems. Because Pristine worked for them the first time around. And then it kept on working. Want to master TPM®? Consider the Pristine Mentorship, which Sami and James lead together.
Continue Reading -->SpaceX Is Going to $210+
ATTN: Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young’s next Pristine Mentorship is on the calendar for October through December 2026. Spots are limited so check it out. Sami Abusaad doesn’t care about the news. The charts say SpaceX (SPCX) is going to $210+. See why he bought the stock 3 different times recently: Sami goes over: What the monthly and daily chart say about the stock The level that could catapult SpaceX to the $21o to $220 area What could actually put the stock in danger How he handled the IPO His current stop, and how he plans to trail his SpaceX position By the way, here are Sami’s entries from the Number Ones newsletter: As you can see, Sami has trade the stock as a swing as follows August 11: Started the SPCX long at $139.31 August 24: Added at $138.11 August 25: Added at $138.56 And with the stock near $157 on September 17, this “triple long” is up nicely over the past month. Want to learn how he makes these gamebreaking trades? Consider his Pristine Mentorship, which he co-leads with James Rich Young.
Continue Reading -->All Eyes on the FOMC
ATTN: Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young’s next Pristine Mentorship is on the calendar for October through December 2026. Spots are limited so check it out. The action is turbulent into the FOMC tomorrow. Sami Abusaad and JR Romero break down what they’re watching: We go over: Why the market is challenged near-term What OpenAI and Anthropic’s calls to slow AI development mean The technical picture with Bitcoin short-term Where SpaceX may go next Names with high upside potential from here And more!
Continue Reading -->Any Trade With a Stop Is a Good Trade
There was one change that improved my profitability as a trader and had more impact on my account and my life than anything else I’ve ever done. That was my decision in 2022 to stop allowing negativity and pessimism to form my beliefs. Instead, I chose to constantly find something to be bullish about, get long, and let price show me when I was wrong. My initial foray into the stock market almost 20 years ago was not a profitable endeavor, partly due to the fact that my desire for wealth was greater than my skill in attaining it, but largely due to my persistent negative mindset. In retrospect, I can see now what I could not see then: my beliefs were not aligned with winning. I was reminded of my old habits recently while talking with friends who insisted their money troubles were due to “the system” being set up against them. I certainly won’t dismiss their valid concerns about the systematic devaluation of our money, but as I pointed out to them, gold has already compensated us for the risks inherent to our fiat currency system. While, in general, I sympathize with their feeling that the necessities of life are becoming less attainable due to “the system,” what I find far more problematic to their particular situation is a negative mindset, a belief that gaining wealth is impossible, which leads to behaviors that ensure that it is. Once you believe you can’t, you’ve ensured you’ll miss all the opportunities that prove the contrary. I recognized immediately my own former limiting beliefs in their expression of concern. When I believed the system was aligned against me, I traded like it. I took small wins out of fear the market would take them back. I allowed losers to take up long term residency on my position statement because I was certain with a little more time I would be proven correct. I was trading poorly, like someone with all manner of insecurities and unhelpful attitudes towards money and that views themselves a victim of forces beyond their control. Belief is a powerful force that can allow you to see the positive or limit your mind’s eye to only seeing the negatives life brings your way. For reasons I’m still trying to pin down in my middle aged years, my former beliefs in my youth had created a negative bias through which I viewed the world and my trading. With such a negative bias, I wasn’t able to see the market for what it is: an endless stream of opportunities waiting to be exploited and a means to a better life. The way out of this negative bias is simple but not easy; it comes down to a choice each of us, as traders, must make for ourselves. I had to make the choice to trust in my ability to consistently show up, wait for setups I recognize, get in without hesitation, and get out without regrets. Of course this approach required an immense amount of study and practice before I was able to deploy my approach at a large enough scale for professional speculation. My study included analyzing thousands of my trades over many years. The main takeaway from my analysis is this: stops keep my account in tact. I need my account near all time highs to aggressively allocate to whatever trend I find developing. There is only going to be one, maybe two big trends a year that I can take advantage of to pump my account to new levels. There will always be uncertainty as to exactly when a new trend is developing, but with stops, I can limit my risk of loss and try repeatedly to get into what I think is a developing trend. But what is the next trend? All my analysis leads me to conclude that the underlying forces that will create the next trend are building underneath the surface level of index prices we see on the tape. It’s still my view that we are in the contraction phase of the business cycle, and because of this, we should see economic and inflation pressure subside within the next three to six months. That should bring down the long end of the yield curve, but the market doesn’t agree with me right now. I’m not fighting it. I’m letting my analysis of price structure take me out of a losing trade with TLT. Was it a bad trade? Absolutely not. I followed my plan exactly, and I did it in the appropriate size, which has always been my weak spot. As long as I follow my process, I’m not going to get overly concerned about losses. New opportunities will come, and having the confidence to move aggressively when I see a setup I recognize is what will get me in a good trade. For TLT, I’m out with a small loss, but I’ll keep stalking this for a better setup to get long when the market is more agreeable to my view. My account is still within a stone’s throw of all time highs, and I plan on keeping it there. Until I take them out and spend them, the dollars in my account are simply ammunition in my armory that will be needed for battle. A big trend that will pump my account to a new level will come. That’s what the market promises, that prices will always move. When the forces align that move prices in a trend, that is the time to engage in battle. Until that time, I’ll defend my account with small skirmishes that are required to not take any more losing months this year. March was my only down month, and that was due to TLT as well. I’ve had to sell off my positions in fertilizer and energy stocks to offset my loss in TLT for September, but I’ve done so after concluding that locking in good gains is more important than positioning for me
Continue Reading -->This Is the New Palantir
What’s the new Palantir (PLTR)? JR Romero argues it is BigBear.ai (BBAI). And to watch the full interview with JR, you can watch here: In the extended video, JR discusses: Why SanDisk (SNDK) can hit $2800, and then $3400 What to make of Nvidia’s (NVDA) post-earnings selloff Why the Russia-Ukraine conflict could end soon. How the SPX could hit 8,000+ And more!
Continue Reading -->Knowing When To Press Your Bets
Last week I laid out my case for a top in long rates on US Treasury Bonds. This week, I’m growing more confident that an important low in the price of US Bonds has been made. However, I’m still a fair weather fan, so I’ll be out in a heartbeat without remorse if my stops are hit. It’s been my view that we are in the contraction phase of the business cycle, and if that view is correct, we should see growth and inflation expectations start to come down for 2027. This shifting dynamic is what can finally put a bid under US Bonds. This is because there will always be demand for income. When I was running an equity portfolio for a small RIA shop, I had to stretch way out the risk curve far beyond where I was comfortable playing to get the portfolio yield just barely into the 3% figure. I was buying foreign telecom OTC equities to get there. This was during the financial repression of the QE era, and it was not a good time to be a dividend portfolio manager. Today, we are being offered higher yield, even above what I had to stretch for back then, in a money market. You can lock in way higher than that if you are willing to extend duration a decade or more. The TLT, my preferred way to play the top in yields, pays a monthly div of ¢33, about 4.7%. This may not look exciting compared to the gains you can get from a well placed equity trade, but believe me, 4.7% return with no risk is nothing to shake a stick at. The unfortunate reality is that at the moment, there is nothing more attractive than US Bonds for my irreplaceable capital. I’ve been in about 75% cash since March, 2026 when I peeled off the last of my gold miners I was willing to part with (I’ve still got my core position in the big 5 miners) so I’ve been looking for another core position in which to allocate. Stocks are just not attractive other than trades right now because they are all trading at about 20x pretax earnings across the board; no matter what sector you look at, every single stock worth owning trades at basically 20x what you can expect it to earn every year. The only exceptions are the oils like XOM and CVX which trade about 15x and my favorite fertilizer, NTR, which trades about 12x what I estimate is an average of earnings over a cycle. These names can still offer potential for reward with the small chance of an energy or grain price spike, but the risk is shifting to the downside as the Iran conflict seems to be nearing a conclusion, or at the very least, a de-escalation. Any way I analyze the attractiveness of stocks for ownership, I come up lacking any justification for anything other than renting specific names for a trade. In an environment like this, it’s best to just stick with the easy trade, and for me, TLT is the easiest one out there. If the lows of this week hold in TLT, then my focus will shift towards deciding where to add. Proper speculation requires only averaging up, never down. Stan Druckenmiller said the key to his success was forming a trade idea, putting on a position, then really stepping on the gas and levering up when his position started to work. I want to apply the same logic to TLT. The first step is seeing the TLT hold the lows of this week at about $81.75. The next step would be to see some strength above $83. A weekly close above $83 on strong volume would be some indication that it would be time to press on TLT with tight stops below $83. This TLT play feels a lot like my gold trade that won me the ability to trade for myself, but this time, I’m going to apply the lessons I learned from that campaign. I did almost everything wrong during that speculative campaign: I averaged down, didn’t have a trade plan, didn’t use stops, had no risk control, etc. The only thing that made the trade work out for me was size. I was 90% long in one sector because I was confident in my analysis. I used 8th grade math to plot the dollar value of US debt going back 50 years, and used an R-squared regression to get a y=mx+b equation. I plugged in the year 2030 for “b”, and got $45T for our debt. I then took the current portion of foreign held debt outstanding at 20%, and I asked, if even 1% of that dollar value shifts to gold, what would the supply and demand balance look like? It turns out, that at the time I performed this basic analysis in 2023, the new demand for gold would be 4.5 tons at the $2,000 price gold was then, and new supply would be only 2 tons by 2030. It was a no brainer, and the trade worked out. This time around, I’m going to still rely on my analysis that we’re in the contraction phase which means growth and inflation should be coming down, but I’m going to adhere to strict risk controls to put on my TLT allocation. Each time I see a higher low hold, I’ll treat that as a new tactical spot to buy stock to add to my strategic core position. Like Druck’s playbook, if the trade starts to work, then and only then will I add. The reason I can be so confident in my analysis that we are in the contraction phase, is because all the signs I’ve been looking for are appearing. I’m relying on signs to form a checklist approach to pinpointing the turn in the cycle rather than hard data points because a data-driven, statistical modeling approach is notoriously wrong at turning points. Modeling
Continue Reading -->AI Just Went Bonkers
What a week! We had a jobs report, a massive earnings beat from Dell (DELL), and a big Tesla (TSLA) Robotaxi event. So let’s dig in: Skip Ahead! Dell & the Gang Confirmed AI Demand Is BonkersMemory Is Back on TopEuphoria Is Missing In ActionThe Great Rate Debate ContinuesNext Week Is Oracle and Econo-themedThe Pristine Mentorship Is Open Dell & the Gang Confirmed AI Demand Is BonkersNvidia (NVDA) impressed with its incredible guidance on its August 26 earnings report. And Dell (DELL) did the same on Tuesday, forecasting full-year revenues 11% above consensus. We also had strong AI-driven results this week from Broadcom (AVGO), Ciena (CIEN), Snowflake (SNOW), NetApp (NTAP), and Hewlett-Packard Enterprise (HPE). Demand for AI infrastructure is just bonkers. As good as industry earnings are, they’d be even better if not for shortages of inputs like memory and good old-fashioned electricity! Remember, Nvidia guided for 70% revenue growth vs. Wall Street expectations of 44%. But its growth would be more like 100% if it could actually meet demand. And this is a company that is facing increasing competition from its own customers, who are racing to build chips in-house! David Prince of T3’s Inner Circle discussed Dell and other key names in this video: Memory Is Back on TopWith all the bullish AI news, it’s no shocker that memory & storage stocks are leading the market to start September, with the Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM) up 4%.DRAM has become one of the most popular ETFs in the market, trading over 23 million shares per day. SanDisk (SNDK) in particular had a big day on Friday, up 10%. Maybe we should have listened to Sami Abusaad Tuesday when he made SanDisk his #1 name. Euphoria Is Missing In ActionThe latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 39.7% of investors are bullish.This is the first week of above-average bullishness since July 15. So does that mean the crowd is positive? Not exactly. 39.7% isn’t even in the neighborhood of euphoric, and it’s not far from the long-term average of 37.5%. Plus, CNN’s Fear & Greed Index is at just 42/100.This is because many of Fear & Greed’s inputs like new 52-week highs are at historically low levels. Euphoria is missing from this market.The Great Rate Debate ContinuesOn Friday, President Trump told the Fed to cut rates. Or else he’ll stop trade with certain countries that have surpluses. But what is the market pricing in? The CME’s FedWatch Tool shows the market is now pricing in a 58% chance of a 25 bps rate hike this month. And it’s pricing in an 86% chance of higher rates by year-end. Next week’s CPI and PPI reports should impact expectations.Next Week Is Oracle and Econo-themedEarnings season is slowing to a crawl following this week’s biggies like Dell (DELL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Broadcom (AVGO), and Snowflake (SNOW). Next week, Oracle (ORCL) is the one to watch for three big reasons: 1) It’s an AI bellwether2) Investors are worried about the company’s debt load3) It will give insights into enterprise software demand But the real action will be in economics with CPI, PPI, ADP Employment, and the ECB rate decision coming in. Not to mention, markets will be watching bond auctions because of ongoing concerns over interest rates and the FOMC.The Pristine Mentorship Is Open Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young’s Pristine Mentorship is open! In this video, they take you through how to build a trading plan, then tell you all about the program. Highly recommended:
Continue Reading -->Dell Is Going to 600
Dell (DELL) hit fresh all-time highs after crushing earnings expectations and releasing huge guidance this week. David Prince says the name is headed for $600, but it all depends on the market: David also goes over: Strength in software stocks after Salesforce (CRM) earnings Why Nvidia (NVDA) is an investment stock Why Micron (MU) looks ready for a breakout How this is a market of stocks not a stock market His favorite setups right now And more! Work with David inside the Inner Circle VTF®
Continue Reading -->SanDisk #1
ATTN: Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young’s next Pristine Mentorship is on the calendar for October through December 2026. Spots are limited so check it out. We asked Sami to name his favorite idea. And he said SanDisk (SNDK): Sami also goes over: Why Apple (AAPL) remains bullish Why he likes SpaceX (SPCX), even though it’s not a perfect situation And more! You can also watch the full extended video here.
Continue Reading -->I Bought This Broken Retailer
ATTN: Sami Abusaad and James Rich Young’s next Pristine Mentorship is on the calendar for October through December 2026. Spots are limited so check it out. Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) fell -31% after earnings last week. Then Sami bought the stock. And then he bought more. See why: Sami goes over: Why follow-through is key for the market now What makes IWM different from SPY and QQQ A buy setup in Tractor Supply (TSCO) Why he likes Spotify (SPOT) Bearish setups in names like Advance Auto Parts (AAP) And more!
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