Wednesday is arguably one of the biggest days of this earnings season. Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), and Tesla (TSLA) are all scheduled to report after the market close. And with the unexpected addition of the DeepSeek AI drama this week, these names are especially in focus as they’ve all spent big on AI. Let’s take a look at each stock individually and what the market is focused on when it comes to earnings. Starting with… Microsoft – which will be releasing FY2025 Q2 results. The company typically releases results right after the market close and is scheduled to hold its press conference at 5:30 p.m. ET. As of Tuesday, the expected move on this name is +/- $17.50 or right around 4%. Trader Insight from David Prince: “Microsoft trades at an elevated P/E and has lagged its peers like Meta and Apple until recently. The market is focused on whether Azure can maintain or, better yet, increase its growth rates.” Here’s what the market is expecting MSFT to report: Revenue: $68.8 billion, +4.91% from Q1 EPS: $3.12, -5.5% from Q1 Current analyst ratings on MSFT: 53 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell $509.04 Average Price Target MSFT has beat both revenue and earnings expectations for the past 4 quarters in a row. But that hasn’t always resulted in the stock moving higher in the next session. In fact, the 1-day move after earnings has been lower for 3 out of 4 quarters. Take a look: Data: Koyfin And here’s a look at how the stock has moved since the company last reported earnings on October 30, 2024: Now, let’s breakdown Meta Platforms (META) which will be reporting FY2024 Q4 results. The company usually releases its revenue and EPS numbers quickly after the market close with the conference call scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET. As of Tuesday, Meta’s expected move is +/- $47.66 or about 7%. Trader Insight from David Prince: “CapEx is already out of the way which is good news as Meta reported plans to spend up to $65 billion on AI this year vs $51 billion the market was expecting. Now the market definitely wants to hear Zuckerberg’s thoughts on DeepSeek and if it changes any of those spending plans. The stock is flying now as one of the main bullish plays off of DeepSeek. As we know, earnings moves are mainly about where a stock is trading pre the print and this one is ripping. The pressure is on for advertising guidance as some are worried about a slowdown without election ads.” Here’s what the market is expecting META to report: Revenue: $46.99 billion, +15.8% from Q3 EPS: $6.74, +11.8% from Q3 Current analyst ratings on META: 59 Buy, 8 Hold, 2 Sell $671.23 Average Price Target META has beat both revenue and earnings expectations for the past 4 quarters in a row. But, like MSFT, that hasn’t always resulted in the stock moving higher the next day. The 1-day move after earnings has been lower for 2 out of 4 quarters. Take a look: Data: Koyfin And here’s a look at how the stock has moved since the company last reported earnings on October 30, 2024: And finally, we have Tesla (TSLA), which will be reporting FY2024 Q4 results. The company releases its revenue and EPS numbers just after the market close and the conference call is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET. As of Tuesday, Tesla’s expected move is +/- $33.89 or about 8.5%. Trader Insight from David Prince: “The market is willing to look past slow car sales if Tesla can make the case for catalysts with a great TAM. For the market right now, that focus is on Full Self Driving and Optimus. Optimus has still felt like a pie in the sky future idea for Tesla, can they make the case for it to be real sooner? We’ll see. FSD seems like the project that has the best potential in the short-term. Like Zuckerberg, the market is dying to hear Elon’s thoughts on DeepSeek and if it changes expectations for how much Tesla will be spending on AI.” Here’s what the market is expecting TSLA to report: Revenue: $27.14 billion, +7.8% from Q3 EPS: $0.77, +6.9% from Q3 Current analyst ratings on TSLA: 20 Buy, 15 Hold, 12 Sell $318.47 Average Price Target TSLA has a history of reporting mixed results. For the past 4 quarters Tesla has: Missed on both revenue + EPS Missed on both revenue + EPS Beat revenue + missed EPS Missed revenue + beat EPS The 1-day move after earnings has been higher for 2 out of 4 quarters. Take a look: Data: Koyfin And here’s a look at how the stock has moved since the company last reported earnings on October 23, 2024: Good luck out there with these earnings reports! We’ll be reacting to them in real-time in the Inner Circle tomorrow. Want to work with us? Apply to join here!
Continue Reading -->
Brought to You By Scott Redler’s Power Plays – Get My #1 Idea Week. We have mostly red arrows around the World as headlines about “DeepSeek” get debated. AI optimism fueled tech for the past two years, so any disruptions and the market gets emotional. We’ll see how emotional after some price discovery today. SPX futures -140, a pretty sizable down move after a small sell signal on Friday. We did reduce some risk as the SPY did a Red Dog Reversal sell, QQQ made a lower high and NVDA gave a bearish engulfing candle on Friday to adjust. But being small could hurt as the move this morning is bigger than usual. We’ll see how the market reacts this morning after discovery. 5905-5930 is pretty decent support to see if it holds. Now let’s dig into some names. NVDA thank goodness this gave a Red Dog Reversal sell into a bearish engulfing candle to get me out of my long here. Now we see if the $126-$129 area holds. I’ll see if we get a 5-15-30-60 minute pivot to try against. Take care here, it will be a fast emotional trade. AMZN is down with the tech sell down. I do still have some from last week. Pre- market low is $219ish. We’ll see if we get a 5-15-30-60 minute low to buy against and trade around it. We still have this name in Power Plays from the $224 area. META I did buy calls when the stock was $625ish and then created a call spread as it hit $652+ on Friday. It said it’s increasing cap ex as the DeepSeek debate gets loud. I will probably cover my short calls and keep the long on for earnings this week. We’ll see what pivot we get this morning to use. MSFT lagged for the past 6 months. It’s down harder than other names as it put a lot of money into AI. We’ll see if we get a 5-15-30 minute low to use. I’ll avoid but watch. $410ish is a big support spot. Earnings are this week. AAPL never spent a ton on AI, so it will be interesting if this goes from the most challenged Mag7 or starts to act better. $219.38 is the recent low. I’ll see if I get a signal to buy to go green as I’ve avoided this name for the past few weeks as actively it’s been an avoid since breaking $253ish. Earnings are on Thursday. Featured: Join Scott Redler’s Plays for $99 Get Scott’s #1 idea each week. That’s 52 weeks for just $99. (not a typo) Be on the list for the next idea: See why now’s the right time to join. This Week’s Calendar This is a huge week with the FOMC, earnings from META MSFT TSLA AAPL, and the PCE price index. Take a look: *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-01-27 at 8.17.08 AM
Continue Reading -->
David Prince says the Trump 2.0 Administration has been different for stocks so far. He shares what he’s seen so far from the market in reaction to Trump taking office: David also covers: How stocks trade on narrative more than anything What the Trump Administration’s new Stargate AI initiative means for the space How he traded NFLX post-earnings His big win in TEM with both stock and options The importance of working with a team And more! Want to work with David? Apply to join the Inner Circle here!
Continue Reading -->
Brought to You By Scott Redler’s Power Plays – Get My #1 Idea Week. We have mixed markets around the World as we try and figure out the new administration’s tariffs and fiscal policy. SPX hit a new all-time high and backed off a little after a big run to 6100. We’ll see if 6076 holds, or do they fill that gap towards 6051. Even a test of the 6010 area would be constructive. Now let’s dig into some names. NFLX made its high in the first few minutes post earnings around $999 and grinded lower all day. $950.79 is the gap pivot. We’ll see if that holds, or do they play with it today. $941 is prior high area that is worth a look if it gets more downside today. AMZN great move for us from $220ish up thru the all-time high of $233 to see $235+ as I reduced size. I’ll see if I can add some vs the $229-$231area to go red to green to keep managing my size. META seems set up for new all-time highs but it’s a little tricky at times. Some are long vs the $603 area. I have two sets of calls but I did trim some yesterday as it hit $631. It was upgraded today. We’ll see how it reacts. NVDA got us long Tuesday as it cleared the $138 area and I did reduce into $147+. Now, we see if it’s buyable vs the $143 gap pivot to keep managing our size to stay with this active swing. DASH builds a nice upper channel. Power plays and I bought this vs the $164-$166 area. Tuesday it cleared $175 and seems on its way to $225+ in 2025. The next obstacle is $181.75. It was upgraded this morning. Featured: Join Scott Redler’s Plays for $99 Get Scott’s #1 idea each week. That’s 52 weeks for just $99. (not a typo) Be on the list for the next idea: See why now’s the right time to join. *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-01-23 at 8.25.55 AM
Continue Reading -->
Sami Abusaad is bullish on China. In today’s video, he breaks down his favorite charts in the sector: Sami discusses: One Chinese name breaking a 5-year downtrend Why it’s been tough to call the bottom on Chinese names Why this sector is ripe for opportunity If BABA has bottomed
Continue Reading -->
Sami Abusaad says the downtrend has ended for this market. Sami explains: What he’s seeing on the QQQ chart Why the timing for a bounce may be tricky A crypto name he’d like to buy that’s not Bitcoin Why he wants to be A-IN on AOUT A software stock that looks headed higher The medical technology stock with an extremely bullish chart And more
Continue Reading -->
Brought to You By Scott Redler’s Power Plays – Get My #1 Idea Week. We have mixed markets around the world post-inauguration day. SPX futures were up 18 as I trimmed some longs around 7:00 as it feels like things can be erratic and change. So far we did get a flood of executive orders, the market is most focused on tariffs. As of now Trump warned of 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada as of 2/1. Markets have to distinguish between what’s real and what’s the Art Of The Deal. Now let’s dig into some names. NFLX reports today after the close. It was a very strong name in 2024 that did correct from $941 down to $823ish. I’m not playing prior with options but will see after. How it responds could be important for risk, the $915 area is some resistance as well. TSLA gets the benefit of the doubt as Elon is high up the Trump ladder. It’s also above the 8/21-day. I did trim some up $9 this morning and I’ll try and hold some to see how the week plays out. $439.74 is Friday’s high to see how it reacts there. AAPL so far is the worst Mag7 name in 2025 but also ramped up into year-end 2024. First sell signal was $257 then $253 when it broke the 8 day. Last week it held the 100 day near $229 and then got rejected at the 8 day. Friday’s bounce was sold, there was no reason to be in this actively. It was downgraded and had poor China sales. See if it stays below $228ish. If so it can be worth a look at the 200 day near $222. AMZN looks better than most Mag7 names as it’s above the 8/21day. I’m long and did trim some. I’ll see how much of today’s gap holds, or not. $226ish is one key, then $229 the ATH area. We have this name in Power Plays. ONON continues to show leadership and is a current Power Plays name. I have stock and options from the base near the $55 area. It hit $59+ Friday to manage. I’d think new all time highs are possible in the sessions ahead. Featured: Join Scott Redler’s Plays for $99 Get Scott’s #1 idea each week. That’s 52 weeks for just $99. (not a typo) Be on the list for the next idea: See why now’s the right time to join. This Week’s Calendar Q4 earnings season continues this week, the biggest name reporting is NFLX after the close today *Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2025-01-121 at 8.14.42 AM
Continue Reading -->
On January 15, JR Romero said Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock bottomed — and explains why. JR also goes through his list of favorite stocks, including: GE Vernova, which has a beautiful breakout, and already smashed through JR’s $400 short-term target (he shares his longer-term target as well) A hotel play that just consolidate for 3 years An up-and-coming storage play A hated social media stock with a long history of lousy earnings report (It is NOT Meta) An old-school oil tanker stock that could continue surging as oil prices rise A rocket stock that’s been a home run for the Momentum Express VTF® And MORE!
Continue Reading -->
Q4 earnings season kicked off this week with strong results from the big banks. David Prince says this quarter of results is all about margins and growth. He shares what stocks he’s focused on for earnings plays in the weeks ahead: David also covers: How he took risk into this week’s inflation data His expectations for a more volatile market in 2025 The importance of taking losses early and admitting you’re wrong on a trade And more! Want to work with David? Apply to join the Inner Circle here!
Continue Reading -->
Today Sami explains why the Trump Trade is back: Why the Trump Trade can repeat itself after inauguration Why $SPY & $QQQ are breaking their downtrends The case for a post-inauguration rally The reason he is still bullish on Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock, and the importance of yesterday’s breakout bar His favorite crypto name right now (it’s not Bitcoin or Ethereum) The private prison stock Sami likes The buy setup in the cruise lines Other names he is bullish on now Last week, Sami shared how you could trade full-time in 2025 & 2026: If you’re interested in becoming a full-time trader… or at least making a full-time income from trading… I’m the best teacher to help guide you there. Just a few testimonials from beginner traders who learned from Sami This link goes to a special webinar I held with my friend and student James Young. (James has his own popular YouTube channel of 50k subs). I first taught James how to trade full-time. On this special webinar, we discussed: How did one failed apparel entrepreneur become a pro, full-time trader Sami’s steps to go from an office job to trading full-time Sami’s advice for “If you want to trade full-time in 2025 or 2026, do this now” James’ tips for a newbie trading through a down market (so you don’t get killed) How James learned his biggest lesson by losing 10k in one trade Plus, if you want live help throughout all of 2025… and get an intensive 5 day training on trading… check out the offer at the end. Check out the replay of this special session here with a pro trader.
Continue Reading -->