Tag Archives for " Forex "
US Dollar Update: Nailed It…Again…
In this video update we revisit the US Dollar Index (UUP) as it has been under heavy pressure. Just recently it tested the key $24 level which was the 2016 low and a level we said would get tested based on a simple and objective method. In this video you will: Hear the analysis that got us to this point See how you could have made money off the bottom Find out where this is headed next
Continue Reading -->Dynamic vs. Static Risk Management for Swing Trading
Are you one of the many swing traders that takes the same level of risk notwithstanding the market conditions? Do you always trade “a thousand” shares just because that’s an easy number to remember? Do you have a hard time picking the best stocks for swing trading? I will discuss some finer points that might help you to become better at managing risk. First and foremost, the T3 Trained Trader (T3TT) should have a Trading Plan outlining his/her money management rules. Here you should establish parameters such as a “maximum loss per week-month”. When establishing a maximum loss per trade (because no one can know which trade is going to work out), the T3TT has to decide whether he wants to follow a more “static” approach where all the potential losses will be similar, or whether to adopt a more “dynamic” set of guidelines created with the purpose of governing when to be more aggressive, less aggressive, or not active at all. You have to understand the fact that not all market conditions present the same odds for a particular trade. Let’s say, for example, that market “x” is in an up-trend, and has pulled back to support over several days. Today we get a reversal bar, and then the reversal is complete. In this case, the swing trader will likely find several high odds entries both today and tomorrow (depending on the tactics used, many of which are taught in our T3 Technical Strategies Course. The third day comes along, the market continues to climb, and some more entries might be executed. As the market continues to rally, the odds of every new entry following through will diminish, as the probability of a reversal to the downside in market “x” is greater. Based on this scenario, a swing trader might enter into larger positions on days one and two, and might reduce his share lots as the market continues to climb. There will be a time when the market has climbed for 5 or 6 days in a row, and so the T3 Trader will devote more and more of his time to manage already open positions, by selling partial lots and raising stops, instead of being too active in entering new swing positions. (He might be more active in micro trading activities though) Using some modified version of this basic concept, the T3 Trader can implement an intelligent way to participate in the markets, while reducing the risks of getting caught with big positions on a reversal contrary to his positions. Trade Well!
Continue Reading -->The Truth About the Brexit: It’s All in the Charts
Want to know the truth about the Brexit? Look at the charts. We didn’t hear much about the GBPUSD since the Brexit decision… and then there was the pound’s flash crash. Now that the GBPUSD is really moving, we’re seeing countless headlines about economic uncertainty and political instability and central banks gone wild. But does all this explaining — after the fact — help us make money? Nope… The right question to ask is how could we have seen the pound’s collapse coming? And how could we capitalize on it? If we are always waiting for news and the next story to drop, by definition, we will always get left behind… similar to a reporter that’s last to the scene. In most cases, the answer is right in front of you. Just look at the charts. People lie. But charts tell the truth. With the charts, you will see the story before it hits the front page. The GBPUSD is a great example of this truth. Post-Brexit, the GBPUSD was in a sideways range for several months. Most people wrote it off, looking for other opportunities. But the pound remained in a downtrend throughout the entire sideways move. This told us to be bearish overall. To see that, look no further than the weekly chart below. If any traders were fortunate enough to see the action prior to the breakdown, they probably would not have pulled the trigger. Why? Because every other time it tested the lows, it rallied. So why should this time be any different? This is where your ability to ‘listen’ to what the chart is saying becomes so crucial. Look at this daily chart. I have highlighted the three main pivot lows. What happened prior to the breakdown was the key. The first two pivots pushed up relatively easily. When GBPUSD came down for the third time, it struggled multiple times to move up. In other words, supply was increasing and demand was decreasing. And for the first time, price was staying below the moving averages. This told us GBPUSD was getting close to making a move. And once it broke down, that was the time to act. This was the story: fear overcoming greed. Not a slowdown in the UK or negotiations with the EU. Humans love stories. We always want to know why. But does why matter as much as when… and how much? I think not. I’d love to hear your thoughts on this. Email me at kurt@t3live.com.
Continue Reading -->What’s Moving in the Forex Market
Kurt Capra, of T3 Live, talks about the USDJPY and where he sees it going over the next couple of weeks and even into the end of the year. In this episode, Kurt talks about why he believes the USDJPY is going to collapse.
Continue Reading -->5 Reasons the $5 Trillion Forex Market Might Be Right for You
For some strange reason, many people think trading forex isn’t for them. But forex is way simpler than you think, and it offers 5 huge advantages over stock, options, commodities, and futures trading: 1) It’s Practically a 24/7 Market Forex is a global market and is open 24 hours a day from 5:00 p.m. ET Sunday through 5:00 p.m. ET on Friday. This is perfect for traders with flexible schedules, or for those making more money outside standard standard exchange hours. 2) Unmatched Liquidity Since forex is a $5 trillion dollar per day market with expanded hours, there are also virtually no gaps, effectively bridging the gap (no pun intended) between day and swing trading. It is very easy to get in and out, at will, no matter the time, day or night. 3) You Can Short At Will Nowadays, there are many restrictions put on stock trading, the uptick rule for one. With forex, there are no limitations on the currencies you trade. You can short at will. 4) Trading Costs Are Incredibly Low Most forex accounts are commission free. PLUS, there are no exchange, data, or platform fees. The only cost you have as a forex trader is the spread, or difference between the bid and ask, which is always visible for you to see. That makes forex trading much, much cheaper than stocks, options, and futures. 5) Incredible Leverage Because the forex market is so liquid, brokers will extend you significant leverage — up to 50:1, and even higher outside the US). Leverage goes both ways though. Just as easily as you can accelerate profits, you can also suffer accelerated losses. That is why you MUST have a method and plan! P.S. below is a recent FREE webinar I did…check it out!!
Continue Reading -->Webinar Replay: Why You Shouldn’t Fear Forex
In this special live webinar, T3 Live Forex Trading Strategist Kurt Capra gives an in-depth introduction to forex trading.
Continue Reading -->Trade of the Week: USDJPY Short
T3 Live’s Kurt Capra is stepping in to provide the latest trade idea of the week. Don’t Fear Forex… Attend my free webinar tomorrow and learn why so many stock and options traders are embracing the lucrative world of forex. The Trade Idea: USDJPY Short Entry Area: 101.80 Stop Price: 104.00 Target Area: 97.00-98.00 Why I Like USDJPY Short USDJPY has been in a downtrend on the daily chart for quite some time. Last month, it rallied and subsequently fell back to the prior low. Recently, it has been consolidating within a range. It is now at the top of the range where we’ll look for sellers to reemerge. P.S. Don’t forget to sign up for my FREE forex training session!
Continue Reading -->Webinar Replay: What You Need to Know About Forex
In this special webinar, T3 Live Forex Strategist Kurt Capra breaks down: How to get started in forex trading Why stock and options traders should consider forex The 5 major lies that stop traders like you from making money in forex Interested in joining our next Forex Profit Accelerator Trading Lab at a special discounted rate? Call our team at 1-888-998-3548 or email info@t3live.com.
Continue Reading -->What’s Moving in the Forex Markets
In this week’s What’s Moving in the Forex Markets video, T3’s Kurt Capra delivers an in-depth analysis of the action in USDCAD.
Continue Reading -->Big Move in USD/JPY on the Horizon?
In this week’s edition of What’s Moving In The Forex Market, Kurt Capra looks at the recent action in the USD/JPY and talks about it may have much bigger implications into the end of the year. He also provides a lesson on why you must be looking at multiple timeframes in order to objectively form a bias.
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