The market is looking pretty bullish this week, but it’s been up for four days. Sami has a lot of bearish names that he’s watching and will tell you what could signal a big drop soon. When to start looking for a reversal in QQQ Why he’d bet CTAS‘ recent bottom won’t get taken out anytime soon What he’s looking for in MGI His biggest regret trading PRTA
Continue Reading -->Welcome to Scott Redler’s Dog Bytes, which gives you a selection of insights from Scott’s Redler Report newsletter. SPX futures are -17 after a big rally to a new high of 4412 Friday. It’s a big earnings week. We’ll see if 4370-4381 acts as support today now that things are extended. NFLX reported last Tuesday and underwhelmed. Most big names hit this week: TSLA reports today after the close, AAPL, MSFT and GOOGL report tomorrow, FB is Wednesday, and AMZN is Thursday.TSLA reports earnings after the close today. I’m not taking an options strategy into it. If it’s a super solid report, it will need to get and stay above the $693-$700 area to open the door for higher prices. For now, see it holds $648ish. AAPL has been acting special since it reclaimed the moving averages in the $127.50 area. There have been so many ways to create cash flow. Last week my strategy was to get long in the $144 area. It reports Tuesday. I’m in some stock and will look to add more. I also bought $150 calls. MSFT has been above the 8/21 day since May, providing leadership. Last week it made a new high before many other names, hitting $289.99. I’d trim into strength because it feels like strong numbers are already priced in. GOOGL has been riding the 8/21 day higher for months as dip buyers keep getting rewarded. On Friday, it hit a high of $2667. It’s up this morning and I’d be looking to trim. FB moved in sympathy with TWTR and SNAP. It reports Wednesday. A little digestion above $358 keeps it constructive. $375 is Friday’s high to watch. AMZN has been a grand slam and my macro call spread has been VERY profitable. I’m still in about a third of it which I will likely hold into earnings on Thursday. I might add another option strategy to get more exposure. Last week it cleared $3592 to hit $3666 Friday. The all-time high pivot is $3773. There is no real setup today, but it’s showing relative strength. Positions Disclosure as of 7/26/2021 at 7:51 a.m. ET
Continue Reading -->Welcome to Scott Redler’s Dog Bytes, which gives you a selection of insights from Scott’s Redler Report newsletter. We have mostly red arrows around the world on worries over pandemics and central banks. Europe and Asia are both broadly lower to start the week.A double Red Dog Reversal into the SPX 4386 area while internals weakened and small caps headed lower is why I preached reducing risk. I went from 25+ equity longs a few weeks back to around 10 early last week to net short by Tuesday. That helped me navigate the tape and minimize the pain. SPY’s gave us ways to make money short last week as it played downside catch-up. Friday, it opened above $435 and failed with a close below Thursday’s low to keep some short coming into today. $427 is pivot support to keep in mind but $425ish is a more important area. QQQ/Tech was the last sector to get faulty. The question is does it play downside catch-up? Or does it find a low today to lead the market off the lows? Watch the 21 day around $354, and see if it reclaims Friday’s $357.24 low. I’d also watch key names like AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA for clues on the action. IWM broke the $224 area as the wedge resolved lower. On Friday, it hit a low of $214.47. I’d cover some and see if there’s a tactical buy vs. a 5-15-30 minute low. $211 is some support and then $207.50ish is the major. If this channel breaks and stays below, it can tell us this correction will last. Bank earnings were sold last week. Now we’ll see if XLF can reclaim $36.10 or not. $35.51 is support. A break and close below could mean more trouble ahead. Positions Disclosure as of 7/19/2021 at 8:02 a.m. ET
Continue Reading -->Up and up we went in June and July, but now momentum is slowing on QQQ. Keep an eye on this big level as it could lead to heavier selling if it is lost.
Continue Reading -->It’s always great when a stock has a huge move to pay options on the day of the event, but it doesn’t always work out that way. Sometimes you need to give a trade time for the news to get digested.
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TLT and rates are moving around, but many traders are only focused on Tech. There are reasons to pay attention now, though.
Continue Reading -->In this video, you’ll learn: How Scott Redler spots an opportunity to get long #stocks on a down day How to use #QQQ to detect a market rebound Why he uses a tier system to manage trades intraday Technical analysis tips for spotting market bounces and predicting market moves
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Earnings season is back! Banks kick off the quarter with a busy week of reports.
Continue Reading -->Welcome to Scott Redler’s Dog Bytes, which gives you a selection of insights from Scott’s Redler Report newsletter. We have mixed markets around the world after last week’s bout of volatility. Last Thursday, the bears had their chance to steal control but had no power. SPX held the 21 day and leaders gave a way to buy in the hole. This weekend, there was more talk of a Global Minimum Tax, but nothing really surprising. SPX needs to hold the 4030-4040 area to keep upper momentum. The all-time high pivot is now 4371. I’m still in a Portfolio Approach, but with fewer names on because the action got a lot more stock-specific. AMZN was a grand slam for our community and I hope you participated. We had the big breakout from $3471 to $3759. I still have 2/3 of my macro call spread, which went from $15 to $70+. I am also short some puts for Friday to generate more P&L. If it can digest above $3694 and create a new flag, I may buy for a move through $3759. Earnings aren’t until July 29. AMC gave signals to get us out around $59. Some are still trading it tactically after it gave a trade Thursday to $49+. It’s down a bit this morning. See if it tries to reclaim the $45.82 pivot for a trade. See if the Black Widow box office numbers help. Two weeks ago, we all focused on Bitcoin at $30,000. It reclaimed that level and it hit $36,500 to trim some. It’s hard to tell if this lower level channel holds. I put on a little but more exposure to go from 80% to 70% cash in my crypto account. If it gets and stays below $32,000, I will most likely hit the brakes. I’m not giving this much room. Positions Disclosure as of 7/12/2021 at 8:04 a.m. ET
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This week’s watchlist is here! Jump in and find out: What you need to see now on the daily chart Why the trend is probably here to stay What makes Amazon (AMZN) stand out so much The bio name that is on fire The 3 names that can drop And more!
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