We Want Rate Cuts!
We closed out another fun week in the markets, and it’s time to look ahead. Because traders have one thing on their minds: rate cuts! 1. Traders Are Still Pricing in Rate Cuts Following Friday’s in-line PCE Price Index report, traders were pricing in an 85.5% chance of a quarter-point rate cut in October. This is down slightly from last week. But next week, we get several key employment data points: Tuesday: JOLTS Job Openings Wednesday: ADP Nonfarm Employment Thursday: Jobless Claims Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls If labor markets continue to deteriorate, don’t be surprised if that number goes to 100%. 2. Equities Are Pricing in Lower Rates This quarter, we’ve seen notable strength in biotech, semiconductors, gold, small caps, and regional banks. That implies traders have been bracing for lower rates, in a classic example of pricing moving before the fundamentals change. And interestingly, we looked at our universe of 30 ETFs, and only 2 are negative in Q3: consumer staples (XLP) and natural gas (UNG): Data: Koyfin 3. Martin Shkreli Put Quantum Stocks on the Hot Seat Hands down, this is the most entertaining video I’ve seen this year. Pharma bro and Wu-Tang Clan antagonist Martin Shkreli laid the smack down on quantum computing stocks like IonQ in an intense debate with Shay Boloor of Futurum Equities. It was released months ago, but went viral on Twitter/X this week. WARNING: you may be tempted to short quantum stocks after you watch this. And depending on the market environment, that may be hazardous to your health. If you’re long ANY quantum computing stocks, please watch this video. Thank me later when you sell all your stocks.@MartinShkreli MOGGED. Shay is in fucking TEARS @ the end. Hard to not take out a mammoth short position after watching this lol.$QBTS $RGTI $IONQ $ARQQ $QUBT pic.twitter.com/bz8iyTORm3 — Zoomer 🧢 (@zoomyzoomm) September 24, 2025 And speaking of quantum… 4. Companies With No Sales Are Doing Great One of our favorite screens is for companies with a $2.5 billion market cap and under $100 million sales. In other words, high valuation and little to no sales. We found 18 US stocks fitting that criteria that are up more than 50% in Q3: The leader of the pack is the super-volatile QMMM Holdings (QMMM), which is up over 7,600% this quarter after pivoting to becoming a crypto treasury bet: And speaking of crypto Treasury bets… 5. Tom Lee Explains the Power of Crypto Treasury Companies A common question among traders and investors is “why buy a crypto treasury company like MicroStrategy (MSTR) or Bitminer (BMNR) rather than Bitcoin/Ethereum?” Tom Lee of Fundstrat explains: Tom Lee explaining why he thinks you should buy a Ethereum Treasury company over just buying Ethereum pic.twitter.com/rHyYCAwLZi — Treasury Edge (@TreasuryEdge) September 24, 2025 6. Intel Is a Star Intel (INTC) has been on fire as of late thanks to a $5 billion investment from Nvidia (NVDA), and speculation of some type of partnership with Apple (AAPL). It’s now up 76% year-to-date. And it would be the #1 stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2025… if it wasn’t kicked out last year. In fact, Intel is #16 in the SPX this year… more than doubling Nvidia’s return. 7. Investors Are Still Bullish For the second week in a row, 41.7% of investors are bullish according to the AAII Sentiment Survey: There was not a single bullish reading from August 6 to September 10. So there is a chance investors turned bullish right at the top. Of course, the indices are barely off the highs so let’s not get carried away just yet. 8. Tesla (TSLA) Took the Mag 7 Lead – and It’s Still Hated Tesla took off like a rocket in September, and is up 31%, crushing its Mag 7 brethren: Wedbush Morgan’s Dan Ives hiked his Tesla price target to $600 based on AI growth potential, making him the biggest bull on the street. But here’s a fun fact: the average Tesla target price is just $336.18. That means the average analysts thinks Tesla will DROP by 23%. Then again, Tesla is an island unto itself and often seems completely detached from its fundamentals. 9. Meet James Rich Young: Trading Prodigy and Mentorship Teacher In this episode of The T3 Alpha Show, I sat down with James “Rich” Young to learn about his meteoric rise in trading and social media. Want to learn from James? Check out the Pristine Mentorship with James Young and Sami Abusaad.
Continue Reading -->Meet James Rich Young: Trading Prodigy
In the latest episode of The T3 Alpha Show, we introduce you to James Rich Young, co-Leader of the Pristine Mentorship Program. James went from attending the Mentorship to moderating the Pristine Active Trader VTF® in a matter of months. That’s unlike many traders who struggles for years before having any success at all. James shares: What made him leave his prior career to pursue trading How he succeeded in trading so quickly How mastering video games like Goldeneye prepared him for day trading Whether new traders have to learn the hard way (by losing big money) How he build an amazing YouTube channel with over 87,000 subscribers The importance of having a great mentor The reason he pursued powerlifting How traders can achieve work-life balance Why you must be careful about the goals you set His favorite Wall Street movie Whether “Rich” is actually his real middle name Want to learn directly from James? GO HERE NOW.
Continue Reading -->Introducing The T3 Alpha Show podcast
Yes, we finally have a podcast: The T3 Alpha Show! Host Michael Comeau connects you with leading traders, investors, and industry executives to provide a mix of education and entertainment. So far, we’ve published 5 episodes so far with special guests: Sam Rabinowitz: an aspiring trader who tried to get a Wall Street Job by holding up a sign Sami Abusaad: our Director of Education who went from bored CPI to top pro trader Charlie Moon: a former professional poker player who harnesses AI to supercharge his trading  Scott Bauer: a former Goldman Sachs and CBOE floor trader that’s sharing his pro options trading strategies with you Rob Koyfman: founder and CEO of Koyfin, a leading financial data platform with 500,000+ users Here’s how to find us: The T3 Alpha Show on Spotify The T3 Alpha Show on YouTube The T3 Alpha Show Website (under construction) We hope you listen and subscribe!
Continue Reading -->This Market Is Incredibly Bullish – But Extended
Sami Abusaad says this market remains “incredibly bullish”… but a little bit extended: Sami goes over: What levels to watch for a pullback on SPY and QQQ The bullish setup on AUPH and why it has plenty of room The 1 2 3 buy setup on ELAN The underwear company that looks like it’s gearing up for a breakout The Monthly Transition A pattern on MTCH – Sami’s favorite pattern! The weekly chart sell setup on BAX A list of names he’s watching to short on a climactic top And more!
Continue Reading -->9 Things You Need to Know: Inflation Is Back In Focus
We just wrapped up an exciting week that was all about the Fed. So what’s next for the market? This week we’ll be focused on inflation, the housing market, chipmakers, and more! Read on to find out what you should have your eyes on. 1. The Fed Still Cares About This Week’s Inflation Number Remember at Jackson Hole when Fed Chair Jerome Powell basically told the market they don’t care about inflation anymore and are instead focused on jobs?  “The time has come for policy to adjust… The inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation. The upside risks to inflation have diminished. And the downside risks to employment have increased… We will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we make further progress toward price stability.” -Jerome Powell, Jackson Hole 2025 Well that seemed to change at this week’s Fed meeting when the head of the Central Bank paired a dovish dot plot with hawkish language. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points as expected on Wednesday with the dot plot showing two more cuts this year and one in 2026. But the Chairman called that move a “risk management cut” and said the Fed expects the impact of inflation on goods price “to continue to build” over the next year. So that means Friday’s PCE Price Index — which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — means a little more to the market now than it would have before this Fed meeting. That number will be out at 8:30am ET on Friday morning and it could be a market mover if it comes in hot or cool. Plus, the week starts on Monday with a big group of Fed speakers including the Presidents of the New York Fed President, St. Louis Fed, Cleveland Fed, and Richmond Fed. 2. Key Housing Data Is On Deck Headed into this week’s Fed meeting, mortgage rates saw a massive drop with Mortgage News Daily showing the average 30-year rate hit a low of 6.13% on Tuesday ahead of the rate cut. But as the bond market rallied post-Fed, mortgage rates jumped alongside the 10-year Treasury yield. As of Friday, here’s a look at where rates stand: We’ll get some important data on the health of the U.S. housing market this week with two reports: August New Home Sales, 10:00am ET Wednesday August Existing Home Sales, 10:00am ET Thursday 3. Can Micron Keep Running? Micron Technology (MU) still hasn’t reported earnings… why do these chipmakers report so late? The company reports Fiscal Q4 earnings after the close on Tuesday and analysts love this stock: Expectations for this earnings report are: EPS: $2.86, +49.5% from last quarter Revenue: $11.13 billion, +19.6% from last quarter MU notched a fresh all-time high of $170.45 per share this week and is up over 30% from its last earnings report. So how good does that earnings report need to be? We’ll see on Tuesday. 4. Is Intel the next MP Materials? Nvidia (NVDA) announced a massive $5 billion investment in Intel (INTC) on Thursday. That deal comes after the U.S. government took a 10% stake in the chipmaker back in August. It’s all a little reminiscent of MP Materials (MP). In mid-July, the Department of Defense said it would invest $400 million in the rare-earth materials company and Apple (AAPL) announced a $500 million partnership with the company. Since then, the stock price has rocketed higher from around $30 to over $70 per share. INTC surged 22.8% on Thursday, the day the deal was announced, for its best daily performance in 38 years. Inner Circle’s David Prince discusses whether INTC is next in line for a massive move like MP: P.S. David is hosting a free webinar next week, sign up here for a special opportunity to join his elite community inside the Inner Circle VTF®. 5. Still Waiting on a TikTok Deal After a call on Friday, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping still haven’t come to an agreement on a deal for the U.S. to take over TikTok. In a Truth Social post, Trump said it was a “very productive call”. In a follow-up post, the President also said he agreed to “go to China in the early part of next year” and that XI “would, likewise, come to the United States at an appropriate time.” Oracle (ORCL) is expected to be the biggest beneficiary of a TikTok deal after it was confirmed this week the company is part of the consortium of investors looking to take over the U.S. arm of the social media site. Oracle already hosts TikTok’s U.S. data and a new agreement could present additional revenue opportunities for the tech company like advertising revenue. 6. Quarterly Earnings Reports Could Go Away The SEC Chairman told CNBC on Friday the agency will propose a rule change to do away with quarterly earnings reports for publicly traded companies. This comes after President Trump called for the change in a post on Truth social earlier in the week. “In principle, I think to propose change in what our rules are now, I think would be a good way forward, and then we’ll consider that and move forward after that.. for the sake of shareholders and public companies, the market can decide what the proper cadence is.” -Paul Atkins, SEC Chair President Trump floated the idea of semi-annual reports saying such a move “will save money, and allow managers to focus on properly running their companies.” 7. iPhone 17 Global Sales Begin All eyes are on Apple (AAPL) as its newly announced iPhone 17 line hit store shelves globally on Friday. The company’s iPhone sales have been under pressure in recent years as it faces more and more competition – especially in China. But data from JD.com showed the first minute of iPhone 17 series preorders surpassed day-one order volume for the iPhone 16 series. That may be a good sign for the tech giant. Apple launched 4 phones in the 17 series: the iPhone 17, iPhone 17
Continue Reading -->Could Intel Be The Next MP? David Prince Answers
Intel (INTC) rallied over 20% on the announcement of Nvidia’s (NVDA) $5 billion investment in the company. This comes after the U.S. government took a 10% stake in the chipmaker in August. David Prince discusses whether the stock could see a move like MP Materials (MP) did after its own government stake and partnership with Apple (AAPL): David also covers: What the deal means for NVDA His big take away from the Fed on Wednesday How he’s trading crypto names like SOLT and BMNR His favorite setups for trades right now And more! Join next week’s free webinar with David here.
Continue Reading -->My #1 FOMC Stock
JR Romero of the Momentum Express VTF® is bullish on construction equipment stock Caterpillar (CAT) – and unveils his price target in this video: JR also goes over: Why he likes Antero Midstream (AM) The strong uptrend in TTM Technologies (TTMI) The attractive base in Upwork (UPWK) Why PJT Partnership (PTN) is going to $220 How he is playing Carlyle Group (CG) on a pullback Where is is looking for a secondary entry in Amphenol (APHL) The reason JR hates trading banks – but is making an exception with Bank of New York Mellon (BK) And more! JR’s watchlist is deep so do not miss this video.
Continue Reading -->7 Trading Lessons from Sami Abusaad
Want to go from zero-to-pro trader with Sami’s help? Check out the Pristine Mentorship now. Sami Abusaad just appeared on our new podcast “The T3 Alpha Show” to fill us in on his fascinating journey from non-English speaking immigrant to honor student to big 4 CPA to top professional trader: Here are 7 trading lessons we took away from this in-depth interview: 1. Trading Isn’t a Game (But It Should Feel Like One) Sami was a great accountant. But his heart wasn’t in it. It was too rigid and too boring. Trading, on the other hand, was what he was looking for. He loves the daily grind of analyzing charts and risking capital, and that’s a big part of why he’s so good at it. You have to find something you love so much that the work doesn’t feel like work. 2. Get in the Zone Ever heard of a “flow state”? It’s when you’re so focused on what you’re doing that everything else melts away. For Sami, that’s what trading is all about. He’s locked in, fully immersed, and totally concentrated. It’s the complete opposite of the typical trader stereotype – hot-tempered with zero attention span. In fact, when Sami is at his best, he isn’t even thinking. He’s FEELING. 3. The Big Picture Trumps the Details When Sami looks at a chart, he sees a picture, not a bunch of numbers. He flips through them at warp speed, almost like a slideshow, and he can tell if a chart is a good one instantly. He doesn’t get caught up in the tiny little details because he trusts his gut and his years of experience. A setup is good, or it’s not. And for Sami, it’s just like seeing a piece of art. He knows that he likes at a glance. If he looks at a chart for more than a few seconds, it’s trash. 4. It’s a Mix of Nature and Nurture Sami believes anyone can learn to trade, but to be a superstar, you need some natural talent. He credits his analytical mind and innate knack for pattern recognition with his success. But natural talent is never enough. The best traders work hard and love what they do. So, some of it is in your genes, but you still need to work hard and grind. 5. You Can Bounce Back from Big Losses Sami’s friend James “Rich” Young (they teach the Pristine Mentorship together) spent $40,000 on education before things clicked clicked. And Sami himself lost $65,000 at the start of his career before getting on the track to long-term success. So a rough start doesn’t mean you’re a failure. Keep learning and keep getting better. Don’t let yourself get cocky, because the market will humble you. 6. Don’t Put All Your Eggs in One Basket Sami’s friend has a single strategy that she’s used to become a great trader. But Sami warns that relying on just one approach can be a trap. The market changes all the time, and a strategy that works today might not work tomorrow. A smart trader is always adapting and has multiple tools in their toolbox. Yes, you should always max out whatever’s working now. But never assume it will last forever. 7. Let the Computers Do the Boring Stuff Sami is very tech-savvy. He traded Bitcoin back in 2012, before 99.9% of the population ever heard of it. He’s even developed his own algo that automates a lot of his trades. He picks the stocks and sets the rules, and the computer handles the rest. He sees a future where AI handles the routine tasks, freeing up traders to focus on big decisions. But he’s not ready to hand over complete control just yet. He still wants to be in the driver’s seat. Want to make Sami your personal trading mentor? Check this out now.
Continue Reading -->8 Things You Need to Know: The Fed Is Dead Ahead
1. The Fed Is Dead Ahead Buckle up buttercups, because the FOMC Rate Decision is dead ahead. Following this week’s CPI and PPI reports and last week’s stinker of a jobs report, the CME’s FedWatch tool is pricing in a 100% probability of a rate cut. As you can see on the right side of this chart, the odds show a 96.4% chance of a 25 bps cut. The odds of a 50 ups cut are a mere 3.6%. But of course, traders are looking for guidance on the future rate trajectory, which feels like a mystery at this point. But what are equities saying? 2. Rate Sensitive Stocks Are Rocking Homebuilders and small caps are rocking in Q3. Look at these numbers: The SPDR Homebuilders ETF (XHB) is up 17.9%, while the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is up 10.4%. Meanwhile, SPY is up just 6.4%. So traders are absolutely pricing in a more dovish Fed. 3. Oracle Stole Nvidia’s Crown Oracle (ORCL) popped 36% on Wednesday after the company said AI-driven cloud revenue will hit $144 billion by FY2030. That’s more than 7X what it will make this year, taking the entire trading and investing world by storm. The stock is now up 77% YTD, knocking Nvidia off the top of the megacap AI heap. And Oracle estimates are going through the roof. According to Koyfin data: The FY2028 consensus revenue estimate went from $99.6 billion to $114 billion. That’s a 14% bump OVERNIGHT. The FY2029 consensus revenue estimate went from $120.4 billion to $165 billion. An increase of 37%. We haven’t seen anything like this since Nvidia (NVDA) in late 2023, when the AI story was just emerging. 4. The 90’s Are BACK Speaking of Oracle, have you noticed how many 1990’s stock market darlings are up huge in 2025? These are the best performing S&P 500 stocks of 2025: Western Digital (WDC) Micron (MU) CVS (CVS) General Electric (GE) Corning (GLW) Lam Research (LRCX) Broadcom (AVGO) KLA Tencor (KLAC) Jabil (JBL) Most of these names have ties to AI, data storage, and the power grid, so it makes sense. Plus, Old Navy is pushing Nirvana shirts and the Backstreet Boys sold out The Sphere in Las Vegas… so the 90’s really are back. 5. Tim Walz Took on Tesla and Failed… Again Minnesota Governor Tim Walz scored an 8/10 with this Tweet making fun of Elon Musk losing his status as the world’s richest person: https://t.co/piZWl3Cl9B pic.twitter.com/m4VAeh3uHv — Tim Walz (@Tim_Walz) September 10, 2025 Back in March, Tim Walz put in the bottom when he celebrated the weakness in Tesla stock. That was when Sami Abusaad infamously bought 2,500 Tesla shares. And you know what? Tesla Tim gave his second buy signal of the year – the skyrocketed following the Tweet we just showed you: As the proud owner of 500 Tesla shares, thank you Tim! Actually, that was a typo. I have 5 shares of Tesla. Carry on… 6. The Bears Are On Patrol The AII Sentiment Survey shows that just 28.0% of investors are bullish on the stock market for the next 6 months. This is the 6th straight week of below-average bullishness. And it’s the lowest bullish reading since April 30. This is great news because it means people are still on the sidelines. 7. OpenDoor Is the #1 Short King Opendoor (OPEN) stock skyrocketed this week after it named Shopify (SHOP) COO Kaz Nejatian as CEO. Opendoor cofounder and new chairman Keith Rabois told CNBC “There’s 1,400 employees at Opendoor. I don’t know what most of them do. We don’t need more than 200 of them.” Nejatian’s claim to fame is eliminating almost all meetings at Shopify so people can get stuff done. So this looks like a match made in heaven. We used Koyfin to screen for US equities with 15%+ short interest and a market cap over $500 million. And Opendoor is #1 by a mile with its 467% gain: 8. This Might Be the Hungriest Kid on Wall Street T3 just launched its first-ever podcast “The T3 Alpha Show.” Our first guest is Sam Rabinowitz, a young buck hungry for a job on Wall Street. So he physically walked to Wall Street to get his shot by holding a sign. This is his story:
Continue Reading -->Pro Trader AI Roundtable: Is the Trend Alive?
Sami Abusaad, JR Romero, and special guest Charlie Moon of Prosper Trading came together today for a wide-ranging discussion on AI in trading: We went over: Why so few traders are using AI How Charlie uses AI extensively as a high-speed analysis and automation tool JR’s specific use of AI in testing his strategies Why Sami hasn’t found a use for AI yet Why Oracle (ORCL) rose so much after earnings The reason the AI trade is not done yet Why the market remains bullish – and impossible to short Everyone’s favorite ideas – including China plays, semiconductors, retailers, and more! And more!
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