Why Pullback Risk is High Right Now
Sami Abusaad argues that the market is at risk of a pullback right now: Sami goes over: The exact levels in SPY and QQQ that could signal a broader pullback for the market Why IWM looks messy after its recent rally attempt Why it’s hard to pick a top when the market is grinding up A crypto miner with strong upside potential Why Gartner (IT) might rally after its huge gap down What’s so bullish about gold and silver right now, and the miner he is targeting The bullish trend in solar names Another China name that is setting up for a big long-term move The bear case for Coinbase (COIN) And more!
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know: The Fed Heads to Jackson Hole
We just closed out another exciting week which saw: Conflicting inflation reports with a cool CPI and hot PPI CoreWeave (CRWV) report a wider loss than expected, crushing the stock Circle (CRCL) report a loss in its first post-IPO earnings report Warren Buffett bet big on a major U.S. healthcare provider A face-to-face meeting between President Trump and Russian President Putin And MORE! So it’s time for the 10 things you need to know right now. Starting with… 1. Traders Pare Rate Cut Bets – Fed Heads to Wyoming A 50 basis point rate cut was creeping up in conversation after the cooler-than-expected CPI report on Tuesday. But Thursday’s hot PPI put an end to that talk. Traders are still overwhelmingly betting the Fed’s first rate cut of the year will come at the September 17 meeting : The PPI signaled more tariff-related pain may be ahead for consumers as companies pass down rising costs to buyers. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee shook off the hot PPI on Thursday saying, “I don’t think that one data point is enough to change a thesis around the trajectory of inflation. Our base case remains that this is going to ultimately be viewed as transitory by the market.” We’ll get a clearer picture on the Fed’s outlook as the annual Jackson Hole Symposium begins on Thursday. This year’s theme is “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy.” Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech is slated for Friday, August 23. Coincidentally, the Fed cut rates for the first time in 4 years at its September 2024 meeting. And that was a 50 basis point cut. 2. Next Week’s Earnings Are All About Retail The retail sector is in focus for next week’s slate of earnings. Here’s the schedule: Tuesday AM: $HD Wednesday AM: $TJX $LOW $TGT Thursday AM: $WMT $BABA Friday AM: $BJ Analysts are loving Walmart (WMT) right now: That may just be the name to watch in this group next week. Friday’s retail sales report showed U.S. consumers are still spending. July retail sales rose 0.5% monthly, while retail sales excluding autos rose 0.3%. Both were in line with expectations. 3. Ethereum Inches Toward New All-Time High Ethereum crossed $4,700 early Thursday morning before pulling back and stalling. The previous all-time high is $4,868. Is a new record mark ahead? Tom Lee remains extremely bullish. In a note on Wednesday he wrote, “We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years.” While Ethereum gets closer to its record high, Bitcoin notched a new one this week. Bitcoin rose to a high of $124,496 overnight on Wednesday before getting hit by the hotter-than-expected PPI Thursday morning. 4. Is The Next Big Crypto Play Bullish? New crypto exchange Bullish (BLSH) debuted on the NYSE Thursday at $90 per share, 143% higher than its IPO price of $37. The company is led by former New York Stock Exchange President Tom Farley and backed by Peter Thiel. Thiel also bet big on BMNR – buying a 9% stake in the company back in July – and we all know how that’s worked out since then. Here’s what the Bullish CEO had to say about their future: “The last leg of growth in crypto, the last 10 years, was basically all retail and … the institutional wave has begun. It’s here, and it’s a question of how big it will be. Based on the reception we’ve gotten thus far as part of our IPO, it feels like institutional investors feel like this could be the moment.” 5. Housing Market Updates Ahead It’s going to be a busy week for those focused on the housing market. We’ll kick things off Monday with the National Association of Homebuilders August sentiment index at 10:00am ET. Will the recent cooling of rates have builders feeling better about the future? The market will also get a look at how building is going with July Housing Starts and Building Permits out at 8:30am ET and then existing home sales on Thursday at 10:00am ET. In addition to all that data, homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL) reports earnings after the market close on Tuesday, the first of the largest builders in the U.S. to report Q3 results. Of note, Berkshire Hathaway appears to believe in the future for homebuilders as they added Lennar (LEN) and D.R. Horton (DHI) to their portfolio this week. Speaking of… 6. Warren Buffett Bets Big on UNH Warren Buffett triggered a huge rally in UnitedHealth Group (UNH) on Friday after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) revealed a $1.6 billion stake in the company in a regulatory filing Thursday. As of Thursday’s close, UNH was down nearly 122% from the April high: UNH is the largest private health insurer in the U.S. and has been under fire in the face of public scrutiny over the rising costs of health care. The company is even facing a DOJ investigation into its Medicare billing practices. So why would Berkshire buy the stock now? Buffett has a history of bargain investing and this appears to be the latest move in that direction. UNH is now the 18th largest position in the Berkshire portfolio. Other names added this week include Nucor (NUE), Lamar Advertising (LAMR), and Allegion (ALLE). 7. The Week Could Be Light Although we are getting data on the housing market and some key retail earnings, there aren’t any big market-moving numbers set to be released next week. Take a look at the full calendar: But one earnings name could be one to pay attention to… 8. Keep An Eye On PANW Earnings Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reports earnings after the market close on Monday. Software stocks have been beat up lately on fears of AI disrupting the space. The market expectations are: $2.50 billion in revenue, +9.31% from last quarter $0.89 EPS, +10/7% from last quarter And the overall consensus from analysts is positive on this name: PANW is down over 20% from its most recent post-earnings high of $210.39 on July 29. This earnings season, it’s been all about where a stock is
Continue Reading -->Why Garbage Stocks Are Winning
It’s not time for blue chips. JR Romero has been moving towards riskier names because they are moving so fast: JR goes over: Why he is trading garbage stocks we’ve never heard of The fast-moving stocks he is focused on right now The reason blue chips are not the place to be How he matches his personality to his trading style The reason successful traders are hyper competitive
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know: Trump’s Inside Man
Wow! What a week! We just saw: The dip buyers achieve a massive victory Apple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook commit to a $100 billion investment in US manufacturing Palantir (PLTR) cement its status as #1 momentum leader Hims & Hers (HIMS) disappoint on earnings and… (please insert your own obvious joke here) A shocking rally in Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR), which may be our new super-spec champ President Trump nominate his buddy Stephen Miran to temporarily fill the vacant seat on the Federal Reserve board New tariffs go into effect Sydney Sweeney create a fascinating technical pattern in American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) stock Record highs in Gold And MORE! So it’s time for the 10 things you need to know right now so you can be the genius at the barbecue. Starting with… 1. President Trump Is Going Lock, Stock and Barrel on the Fed President Trump has lobbied the Fed to cut rates, going so far (or so low) as to use the nickname “Too Late Powell” to attack the current Fed Chair. But Powell’s term ends on May 15, 2026, and Trump gets to pick the replacement. And everyone with a brain is asking the obvious question: Who on Earth would take the job other than a Trump loyalist? Somebody like Stephen Miran — who could be Trump’s “inside man” on the current board until January, when the temporary board membership endd. So perhaps another rate cycle is inevitable, because the President is moving on on the Fed lock, stock and barrel. 2. Next Week’s CPI and PPI Reports Are Big We are headed into a pivotal week with the July CPI & PPI reports. Traders are now pricing in an 89.4% chance of a September rate cut, according to the CME’s Fedwatch tool. Odds skyrocketed after the lousy nonfarm payrolls report last week. So CPI and/or PPI had better not come in hot. Yes, the FOMC tends to eye the PCE Price Index more, but the market could still be freaked by hot inflation numbers. Because that could mean stagflation. 3. A Snoozefest Is Not Impossible The CPI and PPI should push the market around, and we should have a stream of funky trade headlines. But, the calendar is pretty light otherwise: So there’s always the chance we brace for volatility… and we just flop around. But let’s zero in on one of next week’s more interesting earnings names… 4. Could CoreWeave Squeeze? AI hyperscaler CoreWeave (CRWV) has been one of 2025’s more interesting IPOs. Everyone hated it when it came public at $40. Three months laster, it was at $187 as the AI megatrend came back in style. It crushed estimates on its first quarterly report three months ago. And analysts are indifferent, with 5 buy ratings out of 22 total ratings: Could the stage be set for a mega rally if CoreWeave rallies? Because we can think of another stock where the analysts go “meh” but the growth is unreal: 5. Palantir’s (PLTR) Growth Is Unreal Palantir dropped another monster earnings beat on Monday. And it’s the #1 stock in the S&P 500 for the second year in a row, gaining over 145% in 2025. It’s far beyond the #2 stock, GE Vernova (GEV), which is up 96%. As with CoreWeave, Wall Street isn’t aboard the Palantir train. Just 4 of 25 cover analysts rate Palantir as a buy – despite a borderline absurd growth streak. Since going public in 2020, Palantir revenues have never declined quarter-over-quarter. Every single quarter was better than the one before: 6. Ethereum Might Slam Through $4,000 So why did Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) rally over 60% this week? Simple. It’s the largest holder of crypto currency Ethereum. Inner Circle’s David Prince explains the “personality” pushing this name: $BMNR is now up over 50% from @epictrades1 entry last week 📈 Why has this been his crypto focus lately? David says it’s all about the personalities involved with the company. Join the Inner Circle: https://t.co/ihjWyUCC4q pic.twitter.com/dU3lofmgOY — T3 Live (@t3live) August 8, 2025 And Ethereum is on a tear, threatening to slam through $4,000: If that happens, traders may anticipate a move to the $4,868 all-time high. Stay tuned. 7. Keep This Biotech Name on the Radar On Wednesday, Avidity Biosciences (RNA) surged 26% on positive FDA news. But, JR Romero sees even more upside — and he also shares other names he likes in this video: 8. Sydney Sweeney Created a Fascinating Pattern in This Stock American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) skyrocketed last week after unveiling its “Great Jeans” ad campaign featuring Sydney Sweeney. But “The Sydney Surge” flamed out fast and the stock is compressing in a sideways wedge: There’s a big debate as to how much this new campaign is actually driving sales. We’ll have to wait until earnings in early September to find out. Still… doesn’t this stock look ready to explode? Or implode? 9. Gold Is on the Warpath Gold hit record highs on Friday, and the GLD ETF is now up 29% year-to-date, putting it in third place on the 2025 ETF leaderboard: Gold is rallying for all sorts of reasons ranging from geopolitical concerns to inflation fears to central bank buying, etc. So it’s been a great year for digital gold a.k.a. cryptocurrencies – and real gold. Here’s a chart of GLD vs. the IBIT and ETHE ETFs this year: 10. How to Scan for Winning Trades At Warp Speed It might take you hours to analyze a single chart. It takes Sami seconds. See how he scans through charts are warp speed: P.S. Did you know that Sami’s Pristine Mentorship is open for registration? Go here to learn more.
Continue Reading -->Pro-America Narrative Wins In This Market
Apple (AAPL) rallied today after announcing a $100 billion investment in the U.S. While chipmakers like Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) jumped despite President Trump announcing 100% tariffs on chipmakers who don’t build in the U.S. David Prince explains why these moves are all about the pro-America narrative: David also discusses: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) earnings report and this earnings season so far How he’s traded focus names this week like COIN and BMNR The macro economic picture for the market Why the President might be right about the Fed and the jobs report Apply to work with David in the Inner Circle VTF® here.
Continue Reading -->This Biotech Will BOOM Again
Avidity Biosciences (RNA) is up over 20% today. But JR says it’s NOT done yet: JR Romero takes you through this buy list to show you: Why Avidity Biosciences (RNA) is no way done after a 20% gain here Shell’s (SHEL) boring beautiful right side base The reason Kinross Gold (KGC) was a buy at $16 and is headed to $22 Why Seagate (STX) can rally big after 4 more weeks of basing Why Hasbro (HAS) can go from $77 to $97+ Ollie’s Bargain Basement (OLLI) rally potential The 2 types of markets you should never short What makes this market relatively easy to read How the market can bring in fresh swing longs after a huge rally from April
Continue Reading -->Reality Check: The Market Topped Out
Sami Abusaad argues the market topped out. Here’s why: Sami explains: What the gap down after Apple (AAPL) and Amazon’s (AMZN) earnings reports means The problem in understanding the trend Why QQQ $540 could come into play How IWM could hit $200 Why Monday represents a line in the sand – and would could nullify the bear case Why it’s hard to find good shorts right now – even with the market looking shaky The gold name Sami likes right here A biotech stock that looks ready to ignite And MORE!
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know – The Next Megatrend?
We closed out an über-busy week highlighted by record stock prices, huge tech earnings beats, one of the wildest IPOs in history, and an awful jobs report. And oh yeah, President Trump announced a whole bunch of tariffs and renewed his attack on Fed Chair Jerome Powell. So it’s time to break down the 10 things you need to know – including the possible next market megatrend (#4 below) 1. The Ultimate Trump Trade Gets Tested For months, the market was dominated by what we call “The Ultimate Trump Trade,” which was a group of stocks benefiting from: Higher stock, options, and crypto volumes Higher market volatility with higher prices President Trump generating market-moving news multiple times a week Lower regulation Some of the names we included are Robinhood (HOOD), Interactive Brokers (IBKR), Schwab (SCHW), and Webull (BULL). Now these stocks are being tested – which could be a bad omen for the bulls. We’d keep a close eye on Robinhood since it’s the flagship of the crew. It had a furious bounce off the Friday morning lows: If it keeps extending, this market may not be done. 2. Rate Cut Odds Collapsed… and Then They Spiked. On Thursday, traders were pricing in a mere 39% chance of a September rate cut, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool. This was down from 52.4% yesterday, and 75.4% a month ago. But after Friday’s messy nonfarm payrolls report, which included major downward revisions for May and June, things changed fast. As of 9:30 am ET Friday, traders were pricing in a 75.5% chance of a September rate cut: 3. “Low Quality” Stocks Got Destroyed On Friday afternoon, we ran one of our favorite stock scans, looking for names with: Market cap above $2.5 billion Revenues under $100 million In recent weeks, these names were up huge. This week, they got absolutely smoked, with just 2 in positive territory: This is a who’s who of stars in speculative sectors like quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI) AI (PONY), crypto (BMNR), and drones (JOBY). 4. Utilities Could Be the Next Megatrend Utilities stocks should be on your radar. Because if rates go down because of economic weakness, utilities could have 3 separate catalysts: The rate cuts themselves, because lower rates are good for utilities stocks A flight to safety AI driving higher electricity demand As you can see, the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) is crushing SPY this year: Don’t ignore this potential megatrend. 5. Meta (META) Is the Heavyweight Earnings Champion On Wednesday, after the close, Meta beat earnings estimates by 21.8%. This was its 10th straight earnings beat, and it’s 4th straight double-digit beat. But how did the stock follow through during this epic winning streak? We looked at META’s stock price performance after the previous 9 earnings beats. 30 days later, the stock was higher 7 of 9 times, with an average return of +9.9%. Impressive! Speaking of earnings… 6. Earnings Season Has Been Solid On July 25, FactSet reported that 80% of companies are beating expectations during Q2 earnings season. At the start of earnings season, analysts predicted 4.9% earnings growth. But as of Tuesday, earnings were tracking towards 6.4% growth. And that was before earnings beats from Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), and Qualcomm (QCOM). This is exactly what we saw last quarter – low expectations, and companies jumping over easier hurdles. Yes, the economy is showing cracks, but by and large, big companies are hanging in there just fine. 7. Sentiment Was Tracking Bullish On Wednesday, the AAII Sentiment Survey showed that 40.3% of investors are bullish, up from 36.8% last week. So we’ve had bullish readings for 4 of the past 5 weeks. Before this streak, there was not a bullish reading since January 30. The change is no shocker, because nothing improves the mood like higher prices. That said, the sloppy Friday action should push sentiment numbers lower. 8. Figma Is a Modern Momentum Marvel Design software maker Figma (FIG) came public Thursday and it was a doozy. The deal priced at $33. The stock opened for trading at $85. It closed at $115.50. And then it hit $150 after hours. It’s come off the highs Friday, but it’s still up on the day as of early afternooon! Even with all sorts of speculative stocks getting spanked. Wild Stuff. 9. Next Week Will Be Big for AI The AI trade went back into full swing as of late because of heavy capex plans from the likes of Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), and Amazon (AMZN). But the fun isn’t over, because we have 4 key AI names reporting next week: Palantir (PLTR) AMD (AMD) AppLovin (APP) Tempus AI (TEM) They’ll give us plenty of insights on demand levels from all angles of the industry. And just an FYI – AMD has been beating Nvidia (NVDA) year-to-date: By the way, here’s your full calendar: 10. You Need a Trading Plan A trading plan will not guarantee you success. But not having a plan guarantees your failure. So let Sami Abusaad show you the ideal way to put together a trading plan: P.S Did you know that Sami’s Pristine Mentorship is open for registration? Go here to learn more.
Continue Reading -->The Key Thing the Fed Chair Said This Week
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said something very specific in his press conference this week that had David Prince on alert: David also discusses: Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) after earnings His focus for Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) earnings Whether tariffs matter for AMZN Friday’s tariff deadline The importance of Friday’s jobs report Apply to work with David in the Inner Circle VTF® here.
Continue Reading -->My 3 Favorite Stock Ideas Right Now
Sami takes you through this top 3 swing trades, including: A leading cloud software name breaking out to new highs An Aerosol technology company that is staging a rapid reversal higher A surging biotech name Sami also goes over: Why he likes Microsoft $MSFT into earnings Why he does not like Meta $META into earnings Why Bristol-Myers $BMY looks like a short His favorite leveraged ETFs
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