10 Things You Need to Know – The Next Megatrend?
We closed out an über-busy week highlighted by record stock prices, huge tech earnings beats, one of the wildest IPOs in history, and an awful jobs report. And oh yeah, President Trump announced a whole bunch of tariffs and renewed his attack on Fed Chair Jerome Powell. So it’s time to break down the 10 things you need to know – including the possible next market megatrend (#4 below) 1. The Ultimate Trump Trade Gets Tested For months, the market was dominated by what we call “The Ultimate Trump Trade,” which was a group of stocks benefiting from: Higher stock, options, and crypto volumes Higher market volatility with higher prices President Trump generating market-moving news multiple times a week Lower regulation Some of the names we included are Robinhood (HOOD), Interactive Brokers (IBKR), Schwab (SCHW), and Webull (BULL). Now these stocks are being tested – which could be a bad omen for the bulls. We’d keep a close eye on Robinhood since it’s the flagship of the crew. It had a furious bounce off the Friday morning lows: If it keeps extending, this market may not be done. 2. Rate Cut Odds Collapsed… and Then They Spiked. On Thursday, traders were pricing in a mere 39% chance of a September rate cut, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool. This was down from 52.4% yesterday, and 75.4% a month ago. But after Friday’s messy nonfarm payrolls report, which included major downward revisions for May and June, things changed fast. As of 9:30 am ET Friday, traders were pricing in a 75.5% chance of a September rate cut: 3. “Low Quality” Stocks Got Destroyed On Friday afternoon, we ran one of our favorite stock scans, looking for names with: Market cap above $2.5 billion Revenues under $100 million In recent weeks, these names were up huge. This week, they got absolutely smoked, with just 2 in positive territory: This is a who’s who of stars in speculative sectors like quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI) AI (PONY), crypto (BMNR), and drones (JOBY). 4. Utilities Could Be the Next Megatrend Utilities stocks should be on your radar. Because if rates go down because of economic weakness, utilities could have 3 separate catalysts: The rate cuts themselves, because lower rates are good for utilities stocks A flight to safety AI driving higher electricity demand As you can see, the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) is crushing SPY this year: Don’t ignore this potential megatrend. 5. Meta (META) Is the Heavyweight Earnings Champion On Wednesday, after the close, Meta beat earnings estimates by 21.8%. This was its 10th straight earnings beat, and it’s 4th straight double-digit beat. But how did the stock follow through during this epic winning streak? We looked at META’s stock price performance after the previous 9 earnings beats. 30 days later, the stock was higher 7 of 9 times, with an average return of +9.9%. Impressive! Speaking of earnings… 6. Earnings Season Has Been Solid On July 25, FactSet reported that 80% of companies are beating expectations during Q2 earnings season. At the start of earnings season, analysts predicted 4.9% earnings growth. But as of Tuesday, earnings were tracking towards 6.4% growth. And that was before earnings beats from Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), and Qualcomm (QCOM). This is exactly what we saw last quarter – low expectations, and companies jumping over easier hurdles. Yes, the economy is showing cracks, but by and large, big companies are hanging in there just fine. 7. Sentiment Was Tracking Bullish On Wednesday, the AAII Sentiment Survey showed that 40.3% of investors are bullish, up from 36.8% last week. So we’ve had bullish readings for 4 of the past 5 weeks. Before this streak, there was not a bullish reading since January 30. The change is no shocker, because nothing improves the mood like higher prices. That said, the sloppy Friday action should push sentiment numbers lower. 8. Figma Is a Modern Momentum Marvel Design software maker Figma (FIG) came public Thursday and it was a doozy. The deal priced at $33. The stock opened for trading at $85. It closed at $115.50. And then it hit $150 after hours. It’s come off the highs Friday, but it’s still up on the day as of early afternooon! Even with all sorts of speculative stocks getting spanked. Wild Stuff. 9. Next Week Will Be Big for AI The AI trade went back into full swing as of late because of heavy capex plans from the likes of Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), and Amazon (AMZN). But the fun isn’t over, because we have 4 key AI names reporting next week: Palantir (PLTR) AMD (AMD) AppLovin (APP) Tempus AI (TEM) They’ll give us plenty of insights on demand levels from all angles of the industry. And just an FYI – AMD has been beating Nvidia (NVDA) year-to-date: By the way, here’s your full calendar: 10. You Need a Trading Plan A trading plan will not guarantee you success. But not having a plan guarantees your failure. So let Sami Abusaad show you the ideal way to put together a trading plan: P.S Did you know that Sami’s Pristine Mentorship is open for registration? Go here to learn more.
Continue Reading -->The Key Thing the Fed Chair Said This Week
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said something very specific in his press conference this week that had David Prince on alert: David also discusses: Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) after earnings His focus for Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) earnings Whether tariffs matter for AMZN Friday’s tariff deadline The importance of Friday’s jobs report Apply to work with David in the Inner Circle VTF® here.
Continue Reading -->My 3 Favorite Stock Ideas Right Now
Sami takes you through this top 3 swing trades, including: A leading cloud software name breaking out to new highs An Aerosol technology company that is staging a rapid reversal higher A surging biotech name Sami also goes over: Why he likes Microsoft $MSFT into earnings Why he does not like Meta $META into earnings Why Bristol-Myers $BMY looks like a short His favorite leveraged ETFs
Continue Reading -->My Secret Chinese Buy List
Sami Abusaad is still bullish on China – and is focused on some new names you haven’t heard of: Sami explains: Why the overall market bias remains bullish Why Microsoft (MSFT) looks like SPY and QQQ The breakout setup in a Draftkings (DKNG) Why China name Kingsoft Cloud (KC) looks ready to rip The other names China loves right now The AI names that looks destined to fail An airline stock set to break down further
Continue Reading -->Can Elon Musk Save TSLA Stock? David Prince Explains
Tesla (TSLA) reported Q2 earnings this week that missed expectations as car sales continue to fall. David Prince explains it’s about more than just declining auto sales for this name: David covers: The bad news on the robotics timeline from the conference call The important levels he’s focused on in the TSLA chart Whether Elon Musk will be able to save the stock Other key earnings How he’s navigating the current market environment And his favorite setups right now Apply to work with David in the Inner Circle VTF® here.
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know – Biggest Week Ever Edition
What a week! We just saw: The President of the United States of America argue with the Chair of the Federal Reserve over the cost of building renovations (yes, for real) A US- Japan trade deal Monster earnings from Alphabet (GOOGL) A big ol’ mess from Tesla (TSLA) Record highs in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq And way, way more! So let’s dig into the 10 things you need to know about markets right now, starting with… 1. You’re Headed into the Biggest Week of the Year Next week’s calendar is jam packed, highlighted by: US Economics: FOMC Rate Decision, PCE Price Index, Nonfarm Payrolls US Earnings: Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Qualcomm, Visa, Starbucks, Robinhood, ExxonMobil, and ARM Holdings International Economics: Japan and Canada Rate Decisions, Germany and Eurozone CPI Plus, we’re destined to get hit with a pile of trade news, including a potential deal between the US and the EU. So if you’ve been hoping more volatility… buckle up because the headlines will be flying in nonstop. So let’s talk about the Fed: 2. Rate Cut Outlook: Not so Good Traders are taking a July rate cut off the table for next week. The CME’s FedWatch tool is pricing in a mere 2.6% probability of a 25 bp decrease in the Fed Funds rate. There is optimism about September, however. The market now shows a 64.2% chance of a 25 bp cut by the September meeting. Of course, next week’s bevy of US economic data including GDP, PCE Price Index, and Nonfarm payrolls will impact expectations. What side are you on? Should the Fed cut rates now, later, or never? Let us know in the comments down below. 3. The Mood Slipped Bearish in the Face of Record Highs Despite the S&P and Nasdaq slamming to all-time highs this week, investor sentiment is slipping. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 36.8% of investors are bullish. This is the third straight weekly decline since the survey read 45.0% bullish on July 2. And it’s the first bearish reading since June 25. This decline implies there is a lack of trust in the rally, at least among investors. Of course, we are still well off the lows from earlier this year. 4. Tesla Estimates Are Still in Free Fall Tesla (TSLA) delivered its third straight earnings miss. So it’s no shocker that analysts’ estimates are still collapsing: If you look inside the red circle, you can see another dip in FY earnings estimates. Analysts now expect EPS of $1.72 this year, down from $1.81 ahead of Wednesday’s earnings report. And down from $3.24 a year ago. What can I say? Tesla’s still a stock built on hope for the future. On the other hand… 5. Amazon Just Keeps on Shocking Amazon reports earnings next Thursday and it’s always one of the biggest names of the season. Is it pricing in a monster earnings beat? The stock is up 30% in a straight line from the April lows. Plus, as you can see on the table below – Amazon has beaten earnings estimates for 9 straight quarters, with an average beat of +36%. Yet, the stock has sold off the day after earnings 4 times in a row. Could this be #5? 6. Sydney Sweeney Almost Created a Meme Stock Clothing brand American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) rose as much as 28% in premarket trading Thursday on the release of an advertising campaign with actress Sydney Sweeney. And it was looking AEO could turn into a meme stock. But the stock came back down to Earth: Because everyone’s asking a simple but important question: Can Sydney Sweeney drive sales? Analysts are forecasting Q3 sales at $173 million. If she drives $10 to $20 million in extra sales this quarter – that would be pretty big. Keep an eye on this story. Because short interest on American Eagle stock is 12.2% – pretty significant if the numbers get a lift. We recommend asking your teenage kids – “will you start shopping at American Eagle Outfitters?” 7. The AI Trade Rages On Alphabet’s (GOOGL) earnings report was fantastic, especially in the face of “expert” predictions that AI will kill Google Search. But perhaps the biggest story in that report was Alphabet boosting its capital spending budget, which sent up semiconductor stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD). The best possible bull case for semi stocks for Nvidia is demand outstripping supply. Longs want to hear “we can’t produce chips fast enough.” And if Google’s upping its spend, the competition for AI chips and related items goes up. On the negative side, expectations for Nvidia’s next earnings report are sky-high with the stock at record highs, up 102% from the April lows. And speaking of AI… it’s driving another raging trade… 8. Uranium Is Champion AI is driving increased electricity demand just as the US becomes more friendly to nuclear energy. The result? The Global X Uranium ETF (URA) is now up 55% in 2025, more than 5X the return of SPY: And here’s one fun fact about this sector. Uranium miner Cameco (CCJ), which accounts for 23.7% of the URA ETF, has a market cap of just $34 billion. So even at these heightened levels, institutions have very low exposure to this sector. Keep it on the radar. 9. 2025’s Biggest Winners Which S&P 500 stocks have done best in 2025? Let’s take a look. Palantir (PLTR) is in the #1 spot after dominating the leaderboard last year, followed by energy monster GE Vernova (GEV) and gold miner Newmont (NEM). Here’s the top 25: 10. You Can Learn Sami Abusaad’s #1 Indicator in 17 Minutes Sami Abusaad uses two indicators and nothing else. His favorite of the two? The 20-period moving average, which he explains right here in plain English:
Continue Reading -->How the USD Value Impacts Earnings Season
The value of the US Dollar has the potential to negatively impact companies as they report earnings this quarter. Professional trader Derrick Oldensmith explains using UUP: Derrick covers: How the USD value directly impacted earnings season in July 2022 How it may have the opposite effect this year The importance of currency valuations to big tech companies Derrick Oldensmith’s positions as of 9:33am ET July 22, 2025 Derrick Oldensmith is an associated member of T3 Trading Group, LLC (“T3TG’), a SEC Registered Broker-Dealer & Member of FINRA/SIPC. All trades are placed through T3TG. T3 Live, LLC is a financial publisher that disseminates information about economic, business, and capital markets issues through various media. T3 Live is not a Broker-Dealer, an Investment Adviser, or any other type of business subject to regulation by the SEC, CFTC, state securities regulators or any “self-regulatory organization” (such as FINRA). Although T3 Live and T3TG are affiliated companies by virtue of common ownership, the companies are managed separately and engage in different businesses. The programs that T3TG distributes (including articles, commentary, videos, blogs and social media postings) are for informational and educational purposes only. No one should consider the information disseminated by T3TG to be personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment, an offer (or a solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any investment, or the provision of any other kind of investment advice. No one associated with T3TG is authorized to make any representation to the contrary. T3TG provides information that viewers of its programs may consider in making their own investment decisions. However, any viewer will be responsible for considering such information carefully and evaluating how it might relate to that viewer’s own decision to buy, sell or hold any investment. Such decisions must be based on that viewer’s individual and independent evaluation of his or her financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, liquidity needs, family commitments and other factors, not in reliance on any information obtained from T3TG. Statements by any person (whether identified as associated with T3 Live, T3 Trading Group, or any other entity) represent the opinions of that person only and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of T3TG or any other person associated with T3TG. It is possible that any individual providing information or expressing an opinion on any T3TG program may hold an investment position (or may be contemplating holding an investment position) that is inconsistent with the information provided or the opinion being expressed. This may reflect the financial or other circumstances of the individual or it may reflect some other consideration. Viewers of T3TG programs should take this into account when evaluating the information provided or the opinion being expressed. Although T3TG strives to provide accurate and reliable information from sources that it believes to be reliable, T3TG makes no guarantees as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correctness of any such information. T3TG makes no guarantee or promise of any kind, express or implied, that anyone will profit from or avoid losses from using information disseminated through T3TG. All investments are subject to risk of loss, which you should consider in making any investment decisions. Viewers of T3TG programs should consult with their financial advisors, attorneys, accountants or other qualified professionals prior to making any investment decision. The risk of loss in trading equities, options, forex and/or futures can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in options trading may benefit you as well as conversely lead to large losses beyond your initial investment. Past results are not indicative of future results. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. T3 Trading Group, LLC is a Registered SEC Broker-Dealer and Member of FINRA/SIPC. All trading conducted by contributors associated with T3TG on the Virtual Trading Floor is done through T3TG. For more information on T3 Trading Group, LLC please visit www.T3Trading.com.
Continue Reading -->10 Things You Need to Know – Ultimate Trump Trade Edition
What a week! We just saw: Record highs in SPY and QQQ Strong earnings from the likes of JP Morgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), and Netflix (NFLX) President Trump continue to harass Fed Chair Jerome Powell Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller call for a July rate cut… which might be his official application for the Fed Chair job A shocking rally in what bears call “low quality” stocks And way, way more! So let’s dig into the 10 things you need to know about markets right now, starting with… 1. The Ultimate Trump Trade Just Won’t Quit We’ve talked a lot about the monster moves in stocks that benefit from financial market volatility, including: Robinhood (HOOD) Coinbase (COIN) Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Charles Schwab (SCHW) Webull (BULL) These stocks went WILD this week thanks to higher stock and crypto currency prices plus strong earnings from Interactive Brokers and Charles Schwab: Webull led the way with a 22% gain. So what are these stocks telling us? The market expects: Higher stock and crypto prices Strong volumes thanks to Trump-driven news flow. Keep these names on your radar. 2. Sentiment Is Bullish, But Not in a Crazy Way The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows that 39.3% of investors are bullish. This is the third straight week of above-average bullish readings. Before this streak, the last such bullish reading was way back on January 30. And of course, we are well off the 19.1% lows from earlier this year. It goes to show – nothing brightens the mood like rising stock prices. So do these numbers indicate rampant bullishness? No. It’s common for bullish readings to go over 50% in strong markets. But do you know what does indicate rampant bullishness? This: 3. “Low Quality” Stocks Provide High-Quality Returns We screened for stocks with these attributes: Under $100 million in revenues Market cap over $2.5 billion We came up with 28 names: 27 of 28 were up this week with an average return of 13.3%. The bears will tell you that surges in low-quality stocks can be a sign of extreme froth. But remember, they’re only low quality if you’re not in them! But, our friend David Prince of T3 Live’s Inner Circle had something interesting to say on Thursday evening: 4. Listen to David Prince Now Here’s what he told us: Late stage bull markets are awesome and DANGEROUS… this is when 5 dollar stocks go to 20 in days. It’s also why trying to call the top is a fool’s errand. Often the most money is made right here and now. Just remember when the music stops to have a chair waiting. — The Inner Circle Trading Group DP David Prince (@epictrades1) July 17, 2025 So what’s David saying? That this could be a dangerous time. But’s also a lucrative one – as you can see by the eye-popping moves in speculative stocks like Sharplink Gaming (SBET), Joby Aviation (JOBY), and Rigetti Computing (RGTI). These companies have questionable fundamentals, but sexy stories. And right, traders are buying stories. 5. Ethereum Screamed This week, the US Congress passed the “Genius Bill,” which regulates Stablecoins. This legislation is aimed at making Stablecoins safer for mainstream use. This gave Ethereum a big turbo-booster since it’s used in many Stablecoins. And Ethereum rose over 19% this week while Bitcoin slid off its peak: 6. This Week Is BIG We got a whole lot going on this coming week, including: Fed Chair Powell speaking at a conference in Washington DC The ECB rate decision Earnings from Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet (GOOGL), IBM (IBM), Intel (INTC), and other key names 2 US bond auctions And MORE! This is a big improvement from this week’s snoozefest (outside of President Trump’s antics, of course) So let’s talk about a funny thing we see with Tesla: 7. Tesla Keeps Getting Worse and Better Tesla (TSLA) stock is up 31% over the past year. Yet its earnings estimates have dropped HUGE: What’s holding the stock up? 4 Words: “In Elon We Trust.” So here’s a possible scenario for earnings on Wednesday: Tesla delivers a tiny earnings beat, and the stock pops 10%. So it’s a good time to look at earnings season overall: 8. Earnings Season Is Going Better Than You Think We’ve yapped endlessly about how low expectations have been for Q2 earnings season. So how’s it going so far? Very well, thank you very much. FactSet tells us that so far: 83% of S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings estimates 83% have beaten revenue estimates So once again, the market braced for an awful earnings season and it’s turning out pretty well. On June 30, Q2 earnings were estimated to grow by 4.9%. That number’s since creeped up to 5.6% as better-than-expected reports keep rolling in. 9. Fed Rate Cuts? Outlook Not So Good This week, FOMC Board Member Christopher Waller made waves by calling for a rate cut at the July 28-29 meeting. The market doesn’t see that happening. The CME’s Fedwatch tool shows a mere 4.7% probability of a July rate cut. And September is not a done deal. The market is pricing in a 57.8% chance of a rate cut by September. Oh well. Surprises are fun! 10. Trading Is Not About Lambos and Miami Mansions This week, we asked Sami Abusaad and JR Romero a simple question: what do you love about trading?Here’s what they told us: Have a wonderful weekend, friends!
Continue Reading -->Why Great Traders Are Psychotically Competitive
JR Romero explains why if you want to make lots of money fast, do not become a professional trader. JR goes over: Why winning at trading is a long-term process What stressful risk management will teach you about your mindset The reason most successful traders are super-competitive people Why independence is so important to JR The power of being your own boss – and how the market can give that to you
Continue Reading -->Why I Love Trading
Sami Abusaad loves trading – but not because it’s an easy way to get Lambos and women: Sami explains: How trading has changed his life Why Sami likes to be his own boss The surprising thing he learned about himself through trading Why trading has taught him way more about life than books Why he likes being his own boss
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